B.Ray wrote on 11/23/17 at 10:33:43:


The one person who’s been on your TF SIDE IS APPARENTLY SUDDENLY SCUMMY EVEN THO HES BEEN CLEARED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE PLAYERS. get fucked scum.

No im not saying he's scum. Def not. I'm saying he would die at night via Kira. Cmon Isaak!

PAf is looking worse by the minute.

whens eod2

In like 5hrs?

I wont be up for too long. I think you can count on me forr the next 2hrs. I got uni and stuff to prepare aswell

lol Leone suspecting Zoran out of all people? I did think this guy was a good at pretending to scumhunt. I need to reconsider if Matsuda is in this game...

Zoran is legit scumhunting, is really active and considers all of the possibilities. I'm almost convinced he's KF.

P.A.F.625 wrote on 11/23/17 at 12:20:19:


Er... I meant TF duh.

Leone who do u sus the most that will make it to d3 if theres 5

I want to go to sleep now so i can get who to lynch and who to sus.

Diogo wrote on 11/23/17 at 12:27:10:


be sure to post reads, summarize your thoughts, etc b/c I don't see you surviving the night if we don't end this N2

yeah he's been fuckin quiet, and sure he has a bunch of plausible alibis', but it feels real fuckin convenient, and his char claim isnt the strongest

he's just sat back and let the PAF/BRay thing unfold, staying relatively quiet and detached, like he doesnt want to be implicated

even sick/busy TF!sock should be more active than this

I'm back for a bit. Here's my thoughts on the CCC currently:

Most likely - B. Ray / PAF / TYG are KF / KF / TF. B. Ray's claim was odd but somewhat believable at first, but then he lost me when he claimed that hitting the kill switch would also end the day. I also think that it's likely that PAF is his KF buddy, and they gambled hoping that TYG wasn't Watari or wouldn't show up, and they tried to make a move to clear one of themselves. It also lines up fairly well to me that TYG was reading the beginning of Day 2 and didn't see that Watari had already been double-claimed and was being honest with his role claim.

Also possible - 1 neutral, 1 KF, 1 TF (TYG most likely TF). Similar scenario as the above, but B. Ray and PAF acting independently in trying to "clear" themselves.

Also possible (but unlikely imo) - All 3 KF. In this scenario, they know that Watari isn't in the game, and if they all claim it, whoever's the last standing may have a decent shot at making it to the end game without being strongly suspected.

Also possible (and also unlikely imo) - 2 KF and 1 neutral. The KF are informed to the extent of at least knowing in some way that Watari isn't in the game. They try in this scenario to get rid of the neutral player while 1 of the KF survives and isn't seriously questioned about really being Watari until the late-game.

If we weigh 10/4, 8/4/2, 9/5, and 9/4/1 equally it's 50/50 that neutrals are in the game at all

I don't see a world where a neutral would want to claim double unless they were jester, or unless they claimed first then kira hopped on in an effort to get credit

the likelihood of this being the case, tho, falls around 10% tops if i did the math right

Kk ill try to make myself sound as clear as possible. My left eyes retina or w/e hurts again so this will be a rush to be capable to sleep.

Town Reads:

ALAKTORN - only was up to 80%,he jumped straight to 100% as soon as I saw Timur died. No one but him would have killed him at that point. Much more impressive plays from him than any play I'm doing (I"m only trying to corner people),I do wish he did not admit he killed Timur. Some doubt could have been left IMO.
Leone - 95% TF. Impressive plays,always nice thoughts,I like how you play so far. The fact you're Mastuda also proves a lot and you claimed D1. No CCs.
IsaaK - 65% TF. I did read you badly,I think. But you're most likely to be town anyway. You focus on such things that I dont expect which got proven right in the end.

No one else proven Town.

Undecided.

Shock - My doubts on you lowered when I read Naomi. But I still have that one doubt of paulo backing you so soon.
Other than that, TF lean.
Zoran - I honesly do not believe you are a Kira. Thatd why im taking you under my charge. Still,some mistakes have been made and I'm thinking L had a list like how he got light and the directors girl listed as Kira. IDFK but if it is in the game man well KF somehow well played cuz i didnt see that. Lul.
Diamond - boi. Soichiro yagami and no cc. Makes you tf lean but i truly fkn hated that timur backup. Still an eye on you.
TYG - i dont expect watari to not know L at ALL. Makes you a bit more believable than the others.

MAFIA

Paulo - B.Ray

No fucking doubts. I gave one chance to B.Ray and he threw it so hard and so far its crazy. I stated out a bunch of times why i wanted paulo to get lynched. B.Ray is about the same. I still think he tried to use me when vinnie claimed.



To summary...

We havent gotten any shinigami. Only true characters. I hope its 10/4 cuz I just put myself on the bench in case its 9/5. I really believe we got the last Kiras down. And I hope its the case.

I want Paulo and B.Ray to die on the same night. If i die,well,I must admit I'm giving an opportunity for kf to survive but its gonna be like,what, 6/1? You can win that lol.