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FT Mafia: Town wins by doing absolutely nothing (Read 15720 times)
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #350 - 08/23/17 at 19:38:00
 
sportsguy: Anything to add besides "PAF could maybe be mafia idk" in terms of scumreads? for now I'll

[vote]PAF[/vote]

but sportsguy basically hasn't said anything
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #351 - 08/23/17 at 19:38:58
 
re: Leone asking five times if he thinks he's reading Dan right, it's possible but I'm not at all convinced and I don't want to lynch Dan off of that.

A decent scumread from Orange would be nice. Need B. Ray to say something of substance
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #352 - 08/23/17 at 19:43:38
 
Alright, I am super tired and might be about to pass out, I didn't read back over the whole thread yet but should be able to when I wake up to keep developing reads. I will mention after reading Thiradell's post that I feel PAF always seems to look scummy in these games by weirdly second guessing himself, but I do like at least some of what he has done this game.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #353 - 08/23/17 at 19:45:06
 
and fwiw Leone could be jester, Leone could be angel, Leone could be fucking godfather mastermind gonna murder everyone!!!!!!!  Smiley Smiley Smiley. I don't know why he's acting weird but he's grilling people and asking tons of questions. Zwieb tried to give three possible reasons for why Leone is doing what he's doing:

1. role forces weird posting, we don't know what he is
2. he's doing it on purpose to get lynched, jester
3. he's doing it on purpose to be confusing, mafia/3rd party

and commented that none of the reasons lead to Leone being town. I'm not a fan of this sort of thinking in general, boxing a scenario into certain options when you really can't be sure that you know everything about the situation. I also think assuming Dan is mafia because he's trying to out the jester is coming to a conclusion too quickly. Not the best stuff but I've played with Zwiebel before and the rest of his posts are fine
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #354 - 08/23/17 at 19:46:03
 
I don't remember liking Zwiebel when I skimmed. Though tbf I might have just gotten that thought because he's voting me so far. I would almost never lynch him on D1 anyway though.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #355 - 08/23/17 at 20:17:49
 
TvK wrote on 08/23/17 at 17:15:44:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/23/17 at 16:42:36:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/23/17 at 16:37:42:
John, if we had to lynch right now, who would you choose?

Honestly, my views haven't changed significantly from my list of reads (#137) - Dan is the most suspicious of the active players, so I'd have to answer your question with him.


What more will it take for you to use your vote? Is Dan not scummy enough to warrant your vote? Or are you waiting for anyone else look worse? We are only 21 hours away from the end of day and nobody has had more than 3 votes on them so far.

I was hoping that every player would post at least once before casting my vote. As far as I'm concerned, Brian hasn't posted yet - I'd like to give him a chance to join the game and hear his thoughts. Brian, are you actually intending to play? You said you'd "post in a couple hours" but that was more than 4 hours ago and you've yet to do so...
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #356 - 08/23/17 at 21:32:48
 
DansGame wrote on 08/23/17 at 18:21:07:
Possibly the dumbest thing I hear people spout on this forum is the idea that it can only be mafia to defend the way you play and say that you are doing certain things that you'd never do as mafia.


Kind sir, I absolutely MUST contest this point -- thiss line of reasoning would have rooted out TVK when he last played!!!!! Sure not only mafia would make this type of argument, BUT other defenses exist if you wanted to townie it up!!! oh and also I've only seen maf consistently make these type of "look at what im doing!! maf wouldnt do this!!!" type of play.

Second, I'll address your question in #303 a bit more!!  Shocked

Quote:
If I was maf why would I be trying to confirm someone as a non-maf and broadcast it to the world?


genuine-looking gamesolving looks better if you're scum? that'd be a good reason, now wouldn't it??.....

Quote:
I think I gave a pretty good reason why it would be really fucking dumb to try to confirm someone as non-mafia outwardly if you yourself was mafia.


I, sir, could come up with a scenario on this!!!!

- yer tryna earn townie points while at the same time tunneling for a suspected neutral to keep town off scum trails mebbe????

win-win-win-win-win if you as Dan pulled it off too!!!! i expounded on this in my votepost i think

idk if IM tunneling too much tho, any1 wanna object to this degree of digging im doing????????? Last thing I want is to be a hypocrite on the whole tunneling thing!!!!!!!11!1!

Quote:
Obviously this may be WIFOM...


ok sorry but.

can you pless explain WIFOM™ to a harmless little townie like meeeeeee????  Smiley <3

I done checked for a definition BUT! was surprised to find it has many definitions and each could be used in a different context, so your clarification on this would help stupendously, kind sir!!!! Smiley

Quote:
...but to say there's only one strategically relevant reason I'd try to bring this up (which in your mind is that I'm mafia) is complete and utter nonsense.


eh I wouldnt say COMPLETE nonsense cuz maf would have more reason than town to defend themselves rather than prove their innocence by hunting all players down for scum... ESPECIALLY after that first-irl-day of yours. (re: the list Zoranskiy compiled and points i made in earlier posts along those lines).....

Quote:
Does no one remember the game two or three games ago where Alaktorn tunneled hard on me D1 for a half joke vote on Yoshistar and I spent all day trying to defend myself from his ridiculously stupid accusations? I was town in that game.


ah you mean how you tunneled on me first half D1 for my insanity??? (again re: zoran's nice compilation, etc) Shocked Shocked Shocked

naaaaaaaaaaa............

Quote:
The idea that I could only be mafia for trying hard to defend my own logic about things is completely asinine.


if what i said came across as saying "only mafia would defend themselves" then that's not what i meant, my post went after the SPECIFIC TYPE OF DEFENSE you employed, good sir!!!
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #357 - 08/23/17 at 21:39:15
 
orange your reads are a bit all over the place fine sir......

NOT-RED SAID

Quote:
I haven't been able to get reads on everybody but this is what I've got so far:

TvK - My strongest Town lean. Responds quickly and is very analytical. Questions people without being aggressive or intrusive. Knows people inside and out

PAF - Moderate town lean. It's difficult to tell and very few of his posts are "scummy", so it's unlikely he'd be maf.

No Control - Neutral.

MKDS - Town Jester. MKDS has a tendency to use smileys a lot in his posts.

I'll post my maf reads later today. I'm at school right now and don't have the time to search through yet.


1 - So TVK is yer STRONGEST™ town lean just cuz he's analytical/active/non-aggressive?????? not sure the logic follows, wouldst thou mind expanding upon this???? Smiley

2 - you say "very few of his posts" are scummy. this DOESN'T MEAN NONE though!!!!! Ples, provide some examples of posts you DO see as scummy from him??? why are they scummy to you?????

3 - ummmmm, this seems like a very lackluster reason to be all like "oh hey this guy's 'Town Jester™'", so how bout some REAL reasons??!?!?!?/!/!?!/11  Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

where be dem maf reads too!!!!!?!!?!

thanks sir! for your cooperation I mean! I mean in answering my rambling questions! which Im assuming ahead of time youll do! please dont let me down kind sir!

Smiley
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #358 - 08/23/17 at 21:48:33
 
Quote:
You guys are seriously dumb if you're going to lynch me on D1 over someone like Orange who contributes next to nothing. I feel like I have played extremely well on D2 most games as town once we have legitimate infornation to go off of, I picked J-Cop off as mafia in one and nailed TvK and YS as maf partners in another.


Sorry babe, I'm not hunting inactives, I'm hunting scum.  Kiss

BUT! please, DO find us someone scummy enough to lynch (even if they are inactive), so you get a chance at solving all our problems D2!

You seem to be reaching for reasons to stay alive under the assumption you're town ofc, but those reasons don't exactly fly for three of us atm.  Wink (atm=keyword, dig up shit on everybody like i be tryna do [feel free to point out where ya been doing this consistently if ye have been], I dont want my perception of your activity to be wrong, this helps nobody given the extent to which I ramble on about things!!! im not perfect obviously!!! you gotta convince the voices yer pulling yer weight as an Investigator™!!!!1)

there's yer out, good sire: demonstrate consistent digging on everybody, not just myself/orange, and I'll reconsider my vote in this broader perspective you provide Smiley
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #359 - 08/23/17 at 21:51:27
 
OH! also what're active ppls' reads??????????

I keep asking for these but only a few have provided them  Smiley
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #360 - 08/23/17 at 21:54:43
 
Thiradell wrote on 08/23/17 at 19:33:27:
PAF is all over the map dude.

"I'm get small scum vibes from Thiradell since his reads aren't deep and he excuses with "this is early D1". There's no real problem with posting reads which would end up irrelevant later on IMO."

next to

"I wonder if we can get something out of this...Either way, I think TvK is unreadable on D1" *unvotes TvK*
"Meh, you guys are making me doubt my own reasoning (which wasn't really solid in the first place)."
"Meh, I was just trying to analyze but wasn't actually able to think about anything."
"Hinting at a role also seemed something mafia wouldn't be likely to do, I thought they would be more likely to fake claim... I'm not even sure what was my exact reasoning anymore."
"I know it's bad. I hesitated a bit to post that and decided to post because it's better than nothing." (lol)
"More like, I was admitting my mistake. I wouldn't be amazed if both of you are town. But I also wouldn't be amazed if both of you are scum, you ARE quite unreadable."
"He could very well do all of this as scum but I have a slight town lean on him." (lol)
"BUT WHAT IF I'M NOT FUCKING CAPABLE??? I already said to TvK they were suspicious of me for a good reason and could still be town, I just suck."

is this mafia? re-analyzing your own observations/reads doesn't do much unless you're trying to make sure that everything you're saying is inscrutable. Looks like mafia to me


Mr Thiradell sir, in your opinion is there a non-insignificant chance PAF could be clueless town??? he acted just as confused when he was town last game, I'm having a hard time seeing these as things only maf would say, coached or not...
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #361 - 08/23/17 at 21:56:37
 
also thira I agree, I pushed sportsgray for a bit but didn't get a whole lot...

ofc his meta is quiet and low-content regardless of alignment, I still don't 100% get his vote on you however
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #362 - 08/23/17 at 21:58:20
 
Quote:
re: Leone asking five times if he thinks he's reading Dan right, it's possible but I'm not at all convinced and I don't want to lynch Dan off of that.


Might ye ples elaborate, fine sir, on why you remain unconvinced??? not tryna push a narrative, if anything I wanna know if there's a thing im not seeing!!!!!

thx!! Smiley
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #363 - 08/23/17 at 21:59:56
 
Quote:
I will mention after reading Thiradell's post that I feel PAF always seems to look scummy in these games by weirdly second guessing himself


@TVK this would also be my reasoning in a nutshell behind not voting PAF, everything he does could be maf OR town!!!!11  Sad

thoughts on this kind sir????
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #364 - 08/23/17 at 22:02:17
 
DANSTER!!!!

a question:

Quote:
I don't remember liking Zwiebel when I skimmed. Though tbf I might have just gotten that thought because he's voting me so far.


could you possibly pinpoint any other possible causes for this unease???!?!?!?
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #365 - 08/24/17 at 01:56:27
 
WHERE THE FUCK IS EVERYONE

DID I KILL THE GAME OR SOMETHING?!?!?!?!?!??!!?!!?!?!?!!!!!!111!!111!111

was waiting for responses but i think ill sleep instead cuz its 6am now

bye fags

yall better figure shit out, gimme reason to go with paf over dan or vice versa, or some new direction, idk, whatever gets us to scum fastest

not liking sportsguy's 'contributions', should prolly look in his direction, and his vote is still on thiradell

if he's maf then thira is MORE LIKELY town imo, cuz he said "if im maf i vote my scumbuddies", and it looks like, if he posts at all he'd be the kind of guy to use reverse-psychology as maf rather than reverse-reverse psychology

idk i may be wrong lol

idk what im saying anymore

im going to sleep

buy fags

owait i already said that

fuck
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #366 - 08/24/17 at 02:28:09
 
oh also i forgot to post my thoughts on voting and inactives!!

fuck there's a mosquito in my faec

anyway

TYG WHERE ARE YOU YOU SAID YOUD 'try to post at better hours tomorrow' WELL 'TOMORROW' HAS BEEN GONE FOR AWHILE GOOD SIR!!!!!!!!

ALSO B RAY WHERE U AT

i swear i will lynch the fuck out of you inactives, here ill help you out with things to say, post things like reads/comments/thoughts/revelations, hell ill take threats, just DO A THING or something already, D1 is already almost up, i get the day is useless for wagonomics and flips/rereading convos under different lights/looking at night actions/lack thereof, vbut thats NO excuse for sitting on yer asses!!!1

ok On to VOTES!!

not counting memevotes those are worthless to analyze imo

i vote paf at 50 to apply pressure then switch to dan at 183 after i build my little conspiracy theory

sports comes in 55 and votes thira for no reason (unless he gave a reason i mightve missed one idk i cant recall rn, but he hasnt changed it, no idea why

dan votes orange at 74 cuz he looks scummy from shit entrance, no change since then butnthen orange never improved imo so also imo he deserves the pressure, not seeing this as too alignment-indicative of danskiy

thiradell retaliate-votes sportsguy at 130 then backs off by 350 and wagons as 3rd vote on paf, this feels fishy to me and if he's maf this is a clumsy yet logical way to vote, moreso if sports/him are m/m and he did the vote at 130 to double down on an originally-supposed-to-look-like-inno-bussing-strat by sporty, BUT outside votes im not getting scummy vibes from this man rn

tvk uses his vote to pressure potential scum, jumped on paf after i jumped to dan, timing o this might be interesting in future wagonomics, his votes look good as town and if hes smart maf then it's a good framing tactic but either way no way to tell at this point as usual for him

paf jumped to dan after I built my conspiracy theory and he backed said vote w/ p much same reasons i gave, this seems weird but as I keep saying his meta is sheeping on others' logic so im hesitant to call him scum

zoran just pressuring paf, i dont see this as remarkable at a,ll rn lol

zwiebel jumping on danny for the tunnel thing, same reason i used, this doesnt make me think either town or maf, but zweebs has been quiet since most of the day and he did this as maf before, so.... gotta keep a eye on him

and!!!!!!

MOST IMPORTANT IMO:

B RAY, TYG, and ORANGE ARE NOT USING THEIR VOTES AT ALL. MAF HAVE BEEN HABITUAL EOD-ONLY-VOTERS OR BANDWAGONERS voting-wise in past games,

@anyone,

thoughts on this/? thoughts on any of these other vote-ralated ramblings? on anthing else we mentioned in this post?

i cant remember already lol why am i awake
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #367 - 08/24/17 at 02:40:40
 
Leone this is in response to your post 356:

I don't know how much experience you have in mafia but it is always really dangerous for mafia to be actively trying to confirm people who are town or neutral because if too many people get confirmed as not mafia then mafia will never reach a number where there is an equal or greater amount of mafia remaining. Considering mafia can usually only kill one person a night, and that any time a person is confirmed as not mafia they have to waste their kill on them at some point, if a rate of one or slightly more than one person per day is confirmed as not mafia then it doesn't matter how towny a mafia member might look because of this kind of a play on D1, at some point they will be one of the only remaining people who is not confirmed to be not mafia and will get lynched at some point before mafia are able to win. Don't also forget about the usual presence of cops and doctors in the game which can push the game along the path I suggested.

WIFOM is essentially the idea that a self aware player can do something he knows he does as a certain alignment just because he knows he's likely to get read a certain way for it so it's more useful to evaluate them based off of other things if possible. I think you generally understand it, for instance the fact that I have posted a lot doesn't by any means prove that I am town because I am aware that it usually looks like a town thing to do. However you seem to be only reading me as mafia for all these things and not considering the other side which is ridiculous. I think I gave quite a good reason why it would be a bad idea as mafia to try to confirm non mafia and point them out - in this scenario I wouldn't be likely to win the game as mafia think you should actually look at my reads (which I did post reads quite a bit earlier) and my responses to other things. And btw just because you think TvK acts a certain way as mafia doesn't mean that's how everyone plays, he and I are not the same person by any stretch.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #368 - 08/24/17 at 02:41:00
 
Brian

B.Ray wrote on 08/23/17 at 15:53:47:
I have played a few games with Dan in person and I consider him a good townie. So just from that I would lean towards keeping him but I'll read up and post more later.


This is the only post he made that had anything useful. Although i agree with you that Dan is a good townie (when he is one), in this situation in which we are atm i see this as advocating for not lynching Dan today.

B.Ray wrote on 08/23/17 at 15:53:47:
Will post in a couple hours, have only read half of the posts so far and want to take it all in before deciding who to vote for.  


No posts yet, time is getting short. There is a lot to read, you can also post some thoughts while you are reading and indicate that this was your opinion until post number X. Make sure you make up your mind before eod, it would be disappointing to here excuses like - i didn't vote D1 because i wanted to read everything before voting, but never made it.

Looking forward to see more thoughts from you.

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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #369 - 08/24/17 at 02:44:42
 
Of the 3 people who have not used their vote yet I think TYG looks the worst for it since he did go through and read everything at the time and post his observations about it. I think it says the least about Brian who we really don't know what he thinks yet. My vote will remain on Orange for now, he's been here a few times and not said or done anything good yet.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #370 - 08/24/17 at 02:46:26
 
DansGame wrote on 08/23/17 at 02:24:00:

What I think people miss here sometimes is that while scumhunting is important, gamesolving is just as important.  I can solve a mafia game by figuring out who the mafia are, but I can also solve a mafia game by figuring out who all the town/3rd party roles are.  If I have strong reasons to feel like someone is not mafia, as I strongly feel for you in this case, I'm going to come out with them because I think that helps us move the game forward and decide on better lynches who are more likely to be mafia.  Right now I almost certainly feel you are NOT mafia and this makes the odds better of lynching mafia if I can come up with conclusions about this based on evidence.





P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/23/17 at 04:51:58:
I actually think Leone has good points about Dan. Maf know every character and he's the first to mention one. Him insisting on it is just him defending himself smoothly after Leone suspected him and Shock revealed the missing info. I mean, he does rely on confirmation bias too much. I don't care if Leone is trying to trigger confusion himself, Dan could just admit that his character isn't clear or just get on with real scum hunting.
He's the only one that gives me decent scum vibes so:
[vote]Dansgame[/vote]
One thing that leaves me uncomfortable though... he's the top poster by far, and usually they're town...


Dan insisting on something is very suspicious. When scum hunting or searching through posts you should never make reads with absolute certainty. It's better to gather as many clues/hints as possible and work from there. If you have a strong maf/town lean towards somebody, that's fair, but absolutely insisting on it and defending your positions is awfully scummy, regardless of whether they're read as being town or maf. Calling out somebody as a Town with absolute certainty could easily mean that player is a mafia with a significant night role - somebody who is vital to the team. So it would make sense for you to defend them with absolute certainty, as they're playing a vital role for the mafia who they cannot afford to lose.

As for Dan being the top poster, (not anymore currently), I'd say this may be a case of reverse psychology. Due to the top posters almost always being town as you say, it would seem logical to post as much as you can so people are tricked into believing you are town in that sense.

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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #371 - 08/24/17 at 02:49:38
 
Orange Slices wrote on 08/23/17 at 00:33:26:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/22/17 at 21:29:29:
Jeeez not liking Orange's first post of the game. Just a really weird useless observation that he's looking to deep into.... not sure if that means anything... I'll try and decide when I'm done reading everything.


My useless observation, which may or may not be useless, was my first way of reading into a post so early on in the game. Though proven otherwise, at the time it seemed like the logical thing to do.


If your observation useless or not useless? You seem to be wavering on it without giving a reason
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #372 - 08/24/17 at 02:56:05
 
Sportsguy001 wrote on 08/23/17 at 05:13:29:
Read a couple pages.

I like Dan as town because of his searching for roles.  Some of yall think the complete opposite, but not me.  I actually like doing that because it brings more discussion.  I would do this in previous games and would draw the most suspicion even though i was town.  


Wont be back for a while.  Just had a nephew born.


Considering I agree with his thoughts about searching for roles, I like this post. Even though sportsguy definitely needs to contribute more, for now I'd rather lynch Orange.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #373 - 08/24/17 at 02:58:53
 
[unvote]
[vote]Orange[/vote]

Jumping on the easy wagon now, aren't you? That's too weak for me.

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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 1
Reply #374 - 08/24/17 at 03:02:37
 
P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/23/17 at 05:15:34:
I really think Orange is noob town. Is defense makes sense, this is what someone would do if they were trying hard to scumhunt but aren't smart enough to read people as easily as most other, so they get picky. I sort of do this myself, although not on his level.

I'm get small scum vibes from Thiradell since his reads aren't deep and he excuses with "this is early D1". There's no real problem with posting reads which would end up irrelevant later on IMO. Also he mostly contributes to the Leone-Dan ongoing discussion........... meh he's pretty neutral. Also need to check his claim about his play style. He played in this MB back in 2011, maybe I should reread...


I've played Werewolf games with Third (Thiradell) in VA. He is usually very quiet on D1 and he gets more passionate in future days when there is more information to go off of. By itself for me that is a null read on D1.

I hear what you're saying about Orange and I think it is another one of the things that makes you look town, however I want to see more from him before I vote for someone else because otherwise he's just a bad player (if he keeps up that way) that may bring us down in the future regardless of alignment.

I know that at this point me voting Paf might be a good idea but I am definitely reading him town.
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