no control wrote on 08/30/17 at 13:04:12:Zwiebel wrote on 08/30/17 at 11:34:13:I will say this one more time
USING OUR LYNCH TODAY ON SPORTSGUY OR JOHN IS STUPID BECAUSE WE KNOW THAT AT LEAST ONE OF THEM IS TOWN
There is certainly a high reward if one of them is Maf and we lynch right, because the other one is cleared from that. But there's also a very high risk that we lose this game if we mislynch.
I think the risk is too high
I'll steal this idea from you, hope you will not resent it.
So you think it is better to go for TyG or orange just based on the fact that we have no clear town between them?
What do you think we get if they flip maf or town and the game is not over?
Sportsguy is mafia in my mind and i still think we should choose between him and John this time.
If we lynch TYG and he flips Maf then John is cleared(no way TYG busses John so hard today if they are buddies unless TYG is a genius, which I don't think), and I would feel better about a sportsguy lynch on D4. Also would feel better about Zoran being Town, but the fact that TYG pushed much harder for John than Zoran doesn't clear him in my eyes.
If TYG for whatever reason flips Town and we're still in the game, honestly I could make some shit up right now to try and convince you that we would get info but I have not thought about the implications of that flip.
I don't think Orange gives us the same amout of info if he flips Maf and I'm not nearly as convinced as with TYG that he's Maf so that's why I think the lynch has to be TYG today. I mean if I have to I would lynch Orange over Sports/John too but I would very much prefer TYG.
I don't think it is important today what the implications of a Town flip from our lynch is, it is most important we lynch the person that has the highest chance of flipping maf.
Not saying we shouldn't think about Town flip implications, but seeing as there's not much time left I think that should not be our focus right now.