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FT Mafia: Town wins by doing absolutely nothing (Read 15720 times)
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1025 - 08/27/17 at 11:19:05
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:14:34:
Thiradell wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:01:16:
hey Zwiebel, can you give us your thoughts? what do you think about Leone's big post on you? why are you voting for B.Ray when you put so much pressure on Orange yesterday and your biggest scumleans were him and TYG (and Dan)? Why did TYG suddenly go to neutral in #738?


Most of the things you ask I just explained in my read post.

About Leone's big post, he keeps saying that I'm trying to "push a narrative" on all my points where I try to pressure people more or try to ask people if they do or do not agree with my points(or points of other people). I would call that gathering information or asking for other arguments for or against it and not "pushing a narrative", so it feels like he is attacking points in my play that I would say are positive for Town in my eyes.


for sure, your read post came after #738 though
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1026 - 08/27/17 at 11:21:55
 
personally I think the longer we let B.Ray/Orange live:
-if they're town, the mafia will be able to continue giving them as scumreads, and we'll be put in the position of guessing whether the mafia are doing this or whether B.Ray/Orange are scum
-if they're mafia maybe it'll show up eventually, but I wouldn't expect their play to change much from how it stands right now. They could ride out the n00b town wave for awhile and make it a lot farther than they should have

we can see how one of them flips and then pursue the "stronger" mafia in later stages
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1027 - 08/27/17 at 11:22:48
 
bump            
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1028 - 08/27/17 at 11:24:34
 
Thiradell wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:16:41:
Sportsguy said
"I like everyone to vote for someone and i don't really like votes on someone late in the game when its obvious that person won't be lynched."

Also he likes on the record votes, and was sitting with no vote until 20 minutes before EoD1 lmao. Just waiting for the wagons to line up how he liked!
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1029 - 08/27/17 at 11:26:48
 
Quote:
for sure, your read post came after #738 though


Oh sorry, I just assumed that #738 was the other post.

It changed to neutral because i felt my gut feeling wasn't enough for me to put him on either side yet, since I had not yet read back all his posts and didn't feel sure enough to say anything about him yet. D1 I value my gut feeling a lot more than I do later in the game.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1030 - 08/27/17 at 11:33:59
 
I want to know what Leone thinks about orange specifically and if him being maf is entirely contingent on tvk being maf in his opinion as well as the questions I asked him earlier. After that I'll vote.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1031 - 08/27/17 at 11:37:26
 
LewisRichards wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:33:59:
I want to know what Leone thinks about orange specifically and if him being maf is entirely contingent on tvk being maf in his opinion as well as the questions I asked him earlier. After that I'll vote.

No. Don't wait for Leone, he hasn't been on today (real life day, not game day).

You need to finally provide some input, no more sheeping on Leone.
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1032 - 08/27/17 at 11:37:36
 
I've been thinking, do you guys think that both of them roleclaiming right now would be a good idea for us? Right now I can't see much bad things about it, but maybe I'm overseeing something. Is there any reason for them to not do it right now? As I see it, there's probably not another lynch happening, as I agree with #1026 from Thiradell.

I mean, if one of them is Town and we lynch him it's really really bad for us, so I'd rather have them spill all information they have right now. Then again, we would give Maf more information if one of them is Town, which would also suck.

I think it's at least worth discussing.

@Brian, Orange: DO NOT roleclaim before we discussed this. I wanna hear everyone's opinion on it first.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1033 - 08/27/17 at 11:45:42
 
Timur, I don't know if that's good information to put out in the open...right now, we have *no idea* what powers anyone might have. Unless it's something concrete like a cop report (I'm assuming there is some type of scanner power, but once again nothing is certain), then obviously that needs to be known...but then scum will know we're down a cop if that's the power that gets lynched.

It's a tough choice either way - if they spill a bunch of info and flip town, then we have to trust it but scum will know exactly what we lost. How much value do you want to place on scum knowing what powers the town has?
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1034 - 08/27/17 at 11:50:41
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:37:36:
I've been thinking, do you guys think that both of them roleclaiming right now would be a good idea for us? Right now I can't see much bad things about it, but maybe I'm overseeing something. Is there any reason for them to not do it right now? As I see it, there's probably not another lynch happening, as I agree with #1026 from Thiradell.

I mean, if one of them is Town and we lynch him it's really really bad for us, so I'd rather have them spill all information they have right now. Then again, we would give Maf more information if one of them is Town, which would also suck.

I think it's at least worth discussing.

@Brian, Orange: DO NOT roleclaim before we discussed this. I wanna hear everyone's opinion on it first.


depends on their roles. If they have super useful info it'd be nice to have that, otherwise I'm not very keen on this idea
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1035 - 08/27/17 at 11:53:06
 
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:45:42:
Timur, I don't know if that's good information to put out in the open...right now, we have *no idea* what powers anyone might have. Unless it's something concrete like a cop report (I'm assuming there is some type of scanner power, but once again nothing is certain), then obviously that needs to be known...but then scum will know we're down a cop if that's the power that gets lynched.

It's a tough choice either way - if they spill a bunch of info and flip town, then we have to trust it but scum will know exactly what we lost. How much value do you want to place on scum knowing what powers the town has?


Well, that's why I'm asking the opinion of everyone. I don't know if it's a good idea. I mean, if both of them are Maf, it would actually help us a lot figuring out the alignment of the "surviving" player, because it's highly likely we can figure out later in the game if his claim is possible or not. If one of them is Maf and one of them is Town, we gain information for today's lynch, but we also give away information to Maf about the role of the other player. If both of them are Town, it would obviously be a terrible idea.

It's basically 2 decisions: Do you think it's possible that both of them are Town(if yes, then you should advise against roleclaiming from them) or do you think that the information we would get for today's lynch are more important than the knowledge Maf would gain from that(then they should do it).

Dunno, maybe it's too risky.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1036 - 08/27/17 at 11:58:11
 
ok im back, just woke up, gonna catch up now
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1037 - 08/27/17 at 12:04:04
 
LewisRichards wrote on 08/27/17 at 09:28:43:
@Leone if TvK isn't actually bussing orange like your theory says and only one of them could be maf who do you vote? I guess what I'm getting at is would it be a safer lynch to just lynch orange and then go after TvK from there. How likely is it that TvK is maf if orange is town or how likely is it that orange is maf if TvK is town?


It looks like TVK is maf regardless of orange's alignment. An orange lynch tells very little about TVK.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1038 - 08/27/17 at 12:07:06
 
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:03:38:
no control wrote on 08/27/17 at 10:01:40:
It has changed because he hasn't posted posted anything for a long time. He is at 50-50 for me.


From signup thread:
Quote:
I'll play too. I might have very limited access this weekend, but I hope I can at least get a few posts in if the game starts before then.


I didn't know he posted that pregame, as for in game stuff, i never trust these kind of excuses.

Since he did post it pregame, i will not hold it against him either.

My thoughts on his eod:

I already mentioned a possibility that he might be mafia if Brian is town in 823 and clarified it in 1007

If Brian is mafia, i think it is less likely that TvK is mafia. I understand your point that it looks bad because he jumped from mafia to town in that case, but why would he go so hard on him? You could use the same argument that i used in 823 but there is 1 difference which i think is important here.

Tvk didn't just jump on Brian wagon, he went for him hard. Not only that he made his wagon more interesting that way, but he threw him under the bus on D2.

That difference makes me think that m/m is not likely.

But all this make it hard to form a solid opinion on TvK based on his eod movement since we don't know if Brian is maf or town.

Since PAF flipped town, he went down for me, but he started D2 pretty good so that leveled it back.

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:03:38:
I'd rather see your view of him based on his posts and his votes.


TvK wrote on 08/25/17 at 14:23:22:
However, from Shock's writings it doesn't seem like I'm going to live much longer than today.


I like how he shared this, i didn't think of that, don't think he would share it as maf. Why would he help us solve this? Why would he post so hard as maf in beginning of D2 if he really thought what he wrote there? I don't see it.

Then there is that post 715 which is the only one that doesn't look the best. I would add that blaming TYG for confusion is bad.

Other then that he posted his reads, and went scum hunting. There is nothing in the other posts i can point out.

This is all without that night thing.

As for the night thing i really thought neutral attacker was more likely, but since you posted that specific quote, i'm not so sure anymore.

Will put him at 50-50 based on his posts and eod activity (this time without the activity penalty).

If brian ends up being town he goes down and if Paf shoot him it looks even worse for him.

All that being said, i don't think we should be so fast on TvK.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1039 - 08/27/17 at 12:08:55
 
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:37:26:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:33:59:
I want to know what Leone thinks about orange specifically and if him being maf is entirely contingent on tvk being maf in his opinion as well as the questions I asked him earlier. After that I'll vote.

No. Don't wait for Leone, he hasn't been on today (real life day, not game day).

You need to finally provide some input, no more sheeping on Leone.


yee dont sheep on me

ffs
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1040 - 08/27/17 at 12:09:15
 
no control wrote on 08/27/17 at 12:07:06:
Not only that he made his wagon more interesting that way, but he threw him under the bus on D2.


Correction i meant for, but on is true as well.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1041 - 08/27/17 at 12:12:29
 
good god has nobody even seriously read my tvk walls

there's some serious shit in there
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1042 - 08/27/17 at 12:14:27
 
I'll try to put out a wall on thiradell rq, there is a chance orange/bray are t/t, wanna look at more ppl, but rn the one read I'm MOST convinced about is TVK=maf.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1043 - 08/27/17 at 12:16:54
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:37:36:
I've been thinking, do you guys think that both of them roleclaiming right now would be a good idea for us? Right now I can't see much bad things about it, but maybe I'm overseeing something. Is there any reason for them to not do it right now? As I see it, there's probably not another lynch happening, as I agree with #1026 from Thiradell.

I mean, if one of them is Town and we lynch him it's really really bad for us, so I'd rather have them spill all information they have right now. Then again, we would give Maf more information if one of them is Town, which would also suck.

I think it's at least worth discussing.

@Brian, Orange: DO NOT roleclaim before we discussed this. I wanna hear everyone's opinion on it first.


Good idea, maybe you should add don't majority vote before closer to deadline
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1044 - 08/27/17 at 12:17:22
 
LewisRichards wrote on 08/27/17 at 11:33:59:
I want to know what Leone thinks about orange specifically and if him being maf is entirely contingent on tvk being maf in his opinion as well as the questions I asked him earlier. After that I'll vote.


You followed Leone onto the wron wagon last time, why would you follow him again or wait for his opinion before you vote?
Do not hide behind Leone.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1045 - 08/27/17 at 12:18:29
 
Leone wrote on 08/27/17 at 12:14:27:
I'll try to put out a wall on thiradell rq, there is a chance orange/bray are t/t, wanna look at more ppl, but rn the one read I'm MOST convinced about is TVK=maf.


Can you elaborate on my suggestion before you talk about thiradell? I mean the claim suggestion.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1046 - 08/27/17 at 12:20:12
 
I say whoever it is that we end up lynching, if they're town, have a post ready to go at eod, as claiming earlier probably wont save them (lotsa ppl offline) and if it does save em it just gives maf a clear night kill choice.

We need their info but we cant make it useful to maf.
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1047 - 08/27/17 at 12:20:54
 
[vote]unvote[/vote]
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1048 - 08/27/17 at 12:23:55
 
bray tf you doing son

reads rn???

also timur, reads?????

also erryone else on rn, reads??????
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Re: Forum-themed Mafia: Day 2
Reply #1049 - 08/27/17 at 12:26:00
 
B.Ray wrote on 08/27/17 at 12:20:54:
[vote]unvote[/vote]


Can you explain this move? You have someone else in mind, or are you just waiting to see what will happen?
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