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Poll closed Poll
Question: Which 12 player setup?
*** This poll has now closed ***


Option 1  
  2 (18.1%)
Option 2  
  9 (81.8%)




Total votes: 11
« Created by: Shock on: 01/06/17 at 07:26:49 »

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Mafia: Game Over - Town Victory! (Read 7416 times)
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #625 - 01/10/17 at 16:46:39
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:35:42:
I just had a thought - Web has been HARD against J-Cop all day, to the point where it's extremely likely to be t/m. If we lynch J-Cop and he's mafia then it's almost certain Web is town, right?

Has he?

I’ve been following the whole thing as a spectator and had Dan/TYG as both 90% Town, 42 most likely Town and Vinnie/Web as m/m so this shit is taking me by surprise. I saw no reason to believe Vinnie’s and Web’s claims, was quite puzzled everyone just up and believed them. I was honestly just gonna go vote for Web before all this mess.

Can anyone explain to me why we can believe the claims so readily? I can see at least 1 of them being fake, it would mean either of Racer/Timur used an action N1, which isn’t that unlikely. They probably didn’t both use an action, so I wouldn’t say 2 claims are fake and it would be ridiculous for Mafia to bank on that (though I’m still confused at the whole situation, it’s not like I looked at it clearly).

So anyway to recap, the claims…
1. Vinnie scan Web = Town
2. Web scan 42 = Mafia
3. Dan scan Timur = Town (he’s dead)

4. not claimed, most likely Mafia Shot.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #626 - 01/10/17 at 16:49:02
 
So 42, your defense is that I made up the entire claim to mislynch you? That's pretty laughable.

I had a completely neutral lean of you heading into D2, other than the fact that you disappeared there wasn't anything inherently scummy about your play. But the fact that you were a huge unknown made you a perfect scan target for me. I listed these reasons in my report's reveal.  

I spent the entire first half of D2 after I received my PM from Shock trying to see what other players thought of you. My question to TvK shortly before I revealed the claim was to see what he felt of your play so he couldn't revise it after he knew of your mafia leans.

And later Dan, a player who I have at nearly 100% town because of your interaction with him on D1 claims the final night action, making it IMPOSSIBLE for either my scan or Vinnie's scan to be moved.

The four night actions are there, clear as day. I don't see any reason to doubt any of them.

I'm personally against voting anyone other than 42 because of Dan's claim and the mafia report that I have opened in another tab, but I see how lynching J-Cop and having him flip mafia also gives a lot of information.

Trying to think of who would be a better vig shot and who would be a better lynch, I'll post thoughts when I consider for a moment.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #627 - 01/10/17 at 16:50:03
 
Shock, can we get a countdown to the end of the phase and a vote count?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #628 - 01/10/17 at 16:51:48
 
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:49:02:
So 42, your defense is that I made up the entire claim to mislynch you? That's pretty laughable.

I had a completely neutral lean of you heading into D2, other than the fact that you disappeared there wasn't anything inherently scummy about your play. But the fact that you were a huge unknown made you a perfect scan target for me. I listed these reasons in my report's reveal.  

I spent the entire first half of D2 after I received my PM from Shock trying to see what other players thought of you. My question to TvK shortly before I revealed the claim was to see what he felt of your play so he couldn't revise it after he knew of your mafia leans.

And later Dan, a player who I have at nearly 100% town because of your interaction with him on D1 claims the final night action, making it IMPOSSIBLE for either my scan or Vinnie's scan to be moved.

The four night actions are there, clear as day. I don't see any reason to doubt any of them.

I'm personally against voting anyone other than 42 because of Dan's claim and the mafia report that I have opened in another tab, but I see how lynching J-Cop and having him flip mafia also gives a lot of information.

Trying to think of who would be a better vig shot and who would be a better lynch, I'll post thoughts when I consider for a moment.


What else do you expect? If you are town that means Dan is mafia. It also means you were redirected. If you are mafia that means Vinnie was redirected. I also think it clears Dan but my brain hurts and I can't dissect the whole thing right now. I know I'm town so something is wrong one way or the other.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #629 - 01/10/17 at 16:51:50
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:46:39:
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:35:42:
I just had a thought - Web has been HARD against J-Cop all day, to the point where it's extremely likely to be t/m. If we lynch J-Cop and he's mafia then it's almost certain Web is town, right?

Has he?

I’ve been following the whole thing as a spectator and had Dan/TYG as both 90% Town, 42 most likely Town and Vinnie/Web as m/m so this shit is taking me by surprise. I saw no reason to believe Vinnie’s and Web’s claims, was quite puzzled everyone just up and believed them. I was honestly just gonna go vote for Web before all this mess.

Can anyone explain to me why we can believe the claims so readily? I can see at least 1 of them being fake, it would mean either of Racer/Timur used an action N1, which isn’t that unlikely. They probably didn’t both use an action, so I wouldn’t say 2 claims are fake and it would be ridiculous for Mafia to bank on that (though I’m still confused at the whole situation, it’s not like I looked at it clearly).

So anyway to recap, the claims…
1. Vinnie scan Web = Town
2. Web scan 42 = Mafia
3. Dan scan Timur = Town (he’s dead)

4. not claimed, most likely Mafia Shot.

Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot. I think Vinnie's play is very hard to determine whether he's town or mafia, even when he's town most of his posts appear inherently scummy. It wouldn't surprise me at all if he flips town, it's exactly what happened in a previous game.

We'll find out Vinnie's affiliation in just over 12 hours so that will definitely bring some clarity to this.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #630 - 01/10/17 at 16:52:59
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:46:39:
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:35:42:
I just had a thought - Web has been HARD against J-Cop all day, to the point where it's extremely likely to be t/m. If we lynch J-Cop and he's mafia then it's almost certain Web is town, right?

Has he?

I’ve been following the whole thing as a spectator and had Dan/TYG as both 90% Town, 42 most likely Town and Vinnie/Web as m/m so this shit is taking me by surprise. I saw no reason to believe Vinnie’s and Web’s claims, was quite puzzled everyone just up and believed them. I was honestly just gonna go vote for Web before all this mess.

Can anyone explain to me why we can believe the claims so readily? I can see at least 1 of them being fake, it would mean either of Racer/Timur used an action N1, which isn’t that unlikely. They probably didn’t both use an action, so I wouldn’t say 2 claims are fake and it would be ridiculous for Mafia to bank on that (though I’m still confused at the whole situation, it’s not like I looked at it clearly).

So anyway to recap, the claims…
1. Vinnie scan Web = Town
2. Web scan 42 = Mafia
3. Dan scan Timur = Town (he’s dead)

4. not claimed, most likely Mafia Shot.


So you think Web's mafia? You'll find out Vinnie's alignment soon enough. Glad at least someone is on my side here.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #631 - 01/10/17 at 17:04:12
 
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #632 - 01/10/17 at 17:10:21
 
Oh yeah duh, what I completely forgot to consider is Vinnie and Web both being mafia. Since we find out about Vinnie after the day is over, I still think the best lynch is J-Cop.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #633 - 01/10/17 at 17:10:34
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:04:12:
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?


No way mafia would sacrifice a member just to kill 42... that's the problem.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #634 - 01/10/17 at 17:13:10
 
LewisRichards wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:10:34:
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:04:12:
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?


No way mafia would sacrifice a member just to kill 42... that's the problem.

What do you mean by that? I’m pretty sure Web was getting lynched D2 if (hypothetical Maf!Vinnie + Maf!Web) did nothing, and Vinnie is obviously dying anyway. Might as well take down the strongest player with them?

Mostly I was just really puzzled because Vinnie/Web being m/m has been my read the whole game and I Town leaned 42, so this is all sorts of fucked up to me. lol
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #635 - 01/10/17 at 17:13:19
 
LewisRichards wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:10:34:
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:04:12:
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?


No way mafia would sacrifice a member just to kill 42... that's the problem.


Web and Dan would battle it out if I am lynched. Because one of these is locked to be mafia assuming Vinnie flips town. It's not a 100% confirmation. Plus lynching me isn't the worst thing in the world for scum, since mafia will just about have vote parity.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #636 - 01/10/17 at 17:15:07
 
The actions this game give me a headache.

Just let me say this, if I am lynched today, and Vinnie is town, then Dan/Web 100% has a mafia. There is no way around it. I hope everyone realizes this. This is because if Vinnie is town, then the 4 night actions were Vinnie's scan, maf vig shot, maf redirect, and one of Dan/Web is the fourth action. The other is lying.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #637 - 01/10/17 at 17:17:05
 
And where the hell has Zac been?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #638 - 01/10/17 at 17:18:53
 
Okay, so lynch J-Cop today. We can find out what Vinnie flips. If he flips town we lynch 42 the next day? Does that make sense?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #639 - 01/10/17 at 17:19:55
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:04:12:
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?

it's obviously biased coming from my perspective so someone else might have to persuade you, but from my opening post on D2 you can pretty clearly read between the lines and see that I have a mafia report, and that I start looking pretty closely at 42's posts with my new information from Shock. I spent most of the day after looking at 42 on J-Cop, as after I got my report a bunch of pieces started to fit together as why they'd be a perfect maf/maf pair.

remember, this is all coming before Vinnie's roleclaim that if accurate "cleared" me.

and yeah this is meta against myself but do you think that the dude that claimed "town consort" in a previous game here would make this "ballsy" fake claim D2 after I was pursuing mostly newbie players like Vinnie on D1?

Most of the questions that are asked in the math thread here are way above my pay grade so I'm not going to even attempt to calculate anything, but it seems incredibly unlikely my action was moved, and that ALSO assumes one of the other two claims (Dan's or Vinnie's) is false, which also seems unlikely to me.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #640 - 01/10/17 at 17:21:30
 
If Vinnie flips town then you have to decide if you believe Web and I, or if you believe 42.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #641 - 01/10/17 at 17:21:40
 
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:19:55:
ALAKTORN wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:04:12:
Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 16:51:50:
Because Vinnie claimed he had a shot as his second ability and Shock said mafia only has one shot.

So… Maf!Vinnie lies about using Scan on Web and instead uses Shot, Web is saved as the lynch of D2 and instead we lose possibly the strongest player in 42.

I might be stupid but I don’t see why everyone believes the claims so readily. D2 lynch would’ve been Web and suddenly it’s instead possibly the strongest player. I don’t really like lynching 42. I could lynch J-Cop though, I guess. Can’t think of other candidates off the top of my head.

Can someone explain what I’m missing?

it's obviously biased coming from my perspective so someone else might have to persuade you, but from my opening post on D2 you can pretty clearly read between the lines and see that I have a mafia report, and that I start looking pretty closely at 42's posts with my new information from Shock. I spent most of the day after looking at 42 on J-Cop, as after I got my report a bunch of pieces started to fit together as why they'd be a perfect maf/maf pair.

remember, this is all coming before Vinnie's roleclaim that if accurate "cleared" me.

and yeah this is meta against myself but do you think that the dude that claimed "town consort" in a previous game here would make this "ballsy" fake claim D2 after I was pursuing mostly newbie players like Vinnie on D1?

Most of the questions that are asked in the math thread here are way above my pay grade so I'm not going to even attempt to calculate anything, but it seems incredibly unlikely my action was moved, and that ALSO assumes one of the other two claims (Dan's or Vinnie's) is false, which also seems unlikely to me.


And what are you going to do when I flip town? Claim you were redirected and try to lynch Dan?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #642 - 01/10/17 at 17:22:36
 
LewisRichards wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:18:53:
Okay, so lynch J-Cop today. We can find out what Vinnie flips. If he flips town we lynch 42 the next day? Does that make sense?

I definitely think J-Cop is mafia but it really really hurts to let a 99.9999% confirmed mafia wriggle away through to another night, where he can plan with his remaining scumbuddy on how to best let that third mafia survive until the end of the game.

I see J-Cop's lynch as more viable now as 42 is for it and ALAKTORN seems to be for it (since he still doubts my claim).  I don't think it's worth debating how lynching J-Cop makes 42 look as he's in full survival mode.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #643 - 01/10/17 at 17:24:15
 
[Vote]J-Cop[/vote]
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #644 - 01/10/17 at 17:25:13
 
If it means I live to see tomorrow I will do it. This is painstaking because I have a 100% in Web/Dan.

[vote]J-Cop[/vote]
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #645 - 01/10/17 at 17:26:54
 
42 wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:25:13:
If it means I live to see tomorrow I will do it. This is painstaking because I have a 100% in Web/Dan.

[vote]J-Cop[/vote]


How do you have a 100% in me and Web before Vinnie flips?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #646 - 01/10/17 at 17:28:17
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:26:54:
42 wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:25:13:
If it means I live to see tomorrow I will do it. This is painstaking because I have a 100% in Web/Dan.

[vote]J-Cop[/vote]


How do you have a 100% in me and Web before Vinnie flips?


Well technically I don't, I have a 100% in you three. And I don't really think it's Vinnie?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #647 - 01/10/17 at 17:28:48
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:26:54:
42 wrote on 01/10/17 at 17:25:13:
If it means I live to see tomorrow I will do it. This is painstaking because I have a 100% in Web/Dan.

[vote]J-Cop[/vote]


How do you have a 100% in me and Web before Vinnie flips?

he doesn't. It's also not even a 100% from his perspective today because it could be either me or you and he can only lynch one player today.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #648 - 01/10/17 at 17:29:38
 
In order for Web/Dan* 42 to all be town that requires a lot of conditions.

Condition 1: Vinnie is mafia.
Condition 2: Vinnie as mafia faked a town scan on Web who is also town.
Condition 3: Web was redirected from me onto a mafia member.

It's not very probable for all this to have happened.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #649 - 01/10/17 at 17:30:21
 
Why did that bit of text appear in red and italics? Ignore those, there should have been a slash and a me there.
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