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Poll closed Poll
Question: Which 12 player setup?
*** This poll has now closed ***


Option 1  
  2 (18.1%)
Option 2  
  9 (81.8%)




Total votes: 11
« Created by: Shock on: 01/06/17 at 07:26:49 »

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Mafia: Game Over - Town Victory! (Read 7416 times)
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #500 - 01/10/17 at 07:41:02
 
Sorry if my last post was tl;dr. Was just catching up.

I will look more into J-Cop now. For some reason he's been someone who has been very forgettable this game.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #501 - 01/10/17 at 08:10:00
 
It's not just Vinnie's posts that we should be looking at, but also how other people interacted with him. That is one of the reasons I am suspicious of J-Cop. He could be mafia regardless of Vinnie's alignment and I think the best lynch today is someone who could easily be mafia either way.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #502 - 01/10/17 at 08:13:04
 
Also yeah I would be highly active on another forum and I'm sure TvK would be as well. The fact that you were, here, doesn’t surprise me regardless of alignment. As for Lafungo, I will start looking nore closely at him as well.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #503 - 01/10/17 at 08:16:51
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 08:10:00:
It's not just Vinnie's posts that we should be looking at, but also how other people interacted with him. That is one of the reasons I am suspicious of J-Cop. He could be mafia regardless of Vinnie's alignment and I think the best lynch today is someone who could easily be mafia either way.


Lafungo also seemed to keep a low profile on Vinnie. I think the 3 players that could be maf regardless of Vinnie's allignment are J-Cop, Lafungo, and Lenny mainly because the interactions were very minimal. Although I'm on board with some others here that Lenny shouldn't be lynched until we have further information at the very least.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #504 - 01/10/17 at 08:29:21
 
42, I read the posts you quoted from Lafungo. The way he played D1 is something that I think Lafungo could do as either alignment. In my experience playing with him, he's never tried that hard on D1 and seems to focus more on wagonomics than on the scumminess of the people being wagoned on. Again it goes back to that "reaction-testing" playstyle - he wanted to see if a counterwagon might take off so that he can gain information from it later. Of course he could easily be playing like that as mafia as well, trying to see which directions he could push town in that might take off.

I'd rate Lafungo at least slightly scummy due to the fact that he's still largely inactive, seems to be waiting to give his reads and not giving them on every player yet, and due to my PoE. I think it's worth taking another look at what Zwiebel said about him, I'll do that later.

Also, I think he meant that Vinnie was the best lynch out of the "low-hanging fruit and not including you.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #505 - 01/10/17 at 08:30:34
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 08:10:00:
It's not just Vinnie's posts that we should be looking at, but also how other people interacted with him. That is one of the reasons I am suspicious of J-Cop. He could be mafia regardless of Vinnie's alignment and I think the best lynch today is someone who could easily be mafia either way.


If Vinnie is town, who do you think is less/more likely to be mafia?

If Vinnie is mafia, who do you think is less/more likely to be mafia?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #506 - 01/10/17 at 08:43:41
 
Will respond later (have class coming up)
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #507 - 01/10/17 at 09:36:58
 
TYG, Zac, J-Cop, Web, Vinnie, you've all come in here but you're yet to vote. Days are really short, so I would strongly advise you guys to use your votes. This goes especially for Vinnie and Web. Vinnie, I'll say it once again, if you are town, then you have 22 hours left to help your faction win. I really hope you make the most of that time.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #508 - 01/10/17 at 09:38:36
 
Also Vinnie, you seem to be familiar with Lenny's meta. Does he always stay this quiet during the first stages of the game? Is this kind of inactivity from him some kind of alignment indicative? How would you expect him to play if he were town/mafia?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #509 - 01/10/17 at 10:01:40
 
I'm kind of breaking my rule about discussing Lenny before he appears here but this just popped into my head.

Lenny is by far the easiest target to throw a lynch onto today, as he isn't going to defend himself based on what he's posted D1. Anyone who is pushing him as their main scumread without bringing any other options to the table (read: J-Cop) is really taking the easy way out and moving up my scumlist.

So far his D2 has been:

J-Cop wrote on 01/09/17 at 20:35:15:
DansGame wrote on 01/09/17 at 03:09:08:
J-Cop if Vinnie were lynched and flips town, would you still see Zwiebel/Lafungo/Lenny as lynch candidates tomorrow or would you head in a different direction?

My strongest maf leans are Vinnie and Lenny.  My thoughts on Lenny have nothing to do with Vinnie's alignment, so if Vinnie flips town, I would still be in favor of lynching Lenny.  He could possibly change my opinion if he shows up and contributes well, but if he continues to do nothing, he'll stay on my scum list.

My read on Lafungo is a little less independent of Vinnie's alignment because it looked like he may have been trying to draw attention away from Vinnie, but the main point there was his weak case against 42.  It was out of the blue with no solid reasoning, and it's the only contribution he made on day 1.

If I had to pick one or the other to lynch today, I would pick Lenny because as I said, my read on him has nothing to do with Vinnie, while my read on Lafungo is slightly dependent on Vinnie being maf.


His maf leans are the two easiest maf leans to have at this point in the game, Vinnie and Lenny. He also offers a somewhat halfhearted maf lean on Lafungo.

J-Cop wrote on 01/09/17 at 21:06:45:
Web wrote on 01/09/17 at 21:03:17:
42 wrote on 01/09/17 at 19:54:49:
There's 8 left. I'll be the first to say I am more of a townhunter. I am pretty sure on Dan and TvK both being town. And that is WITH me giving them credit to pull off a strong mafia game. Lenny strikes me as stupid town. Very stupid town mind you, but not mafia.

I think I had suspicions on you and tyg otherwise. Don't remember enough about Zac and J-Cop. I'll look more into you four.

I know that isn't really the answer you were looking for but it is what's on my mind at the moment.

Maybe it isn't the answer I was looking for, but this struck me as very odd. Why are you primarily a town hunter instead of a mafia hunter? So you can uncover clear townies that maf can pick off at night, leaving a bunch of uncertain players left that are difficult for the remaining townies to determine the affiliation of? It seems like it doesn't help the town as much as hunting for mafia.

I've always thought the primary goal of a town member should be hunting for mafia, not town.

Being a so called "townhunter" isn't a bad thing.  Brett said the same thing to me about himself, that he is much better and figuring out who is town than who is maf.  If you have a list of people who you are certain are town, you can then look at everyone else and have fewer people to pick between to find scum.


A post responding to my confusion at 42's townhunter status, which does make sense to me and makes that 42 post less suspicious but doesn't add that much to the game. Also could be seen as a soft defense of 42.


J-Cop wrote on 01/09/17 at 23:28:23:
TvK wrote on 01/09/17 at 19:22:00:
*summarized Racer and Zwiebel interactions from D1*

I'm probably in the minority here, but I don't think their interactions with other people matter as much for why they were killed.  In a high power game, it's important for maf to get as many kills as early as they can to balance the playing field more in their favor.  Zwiebel is a strong player who probably isn't as likely to be protected as someone like you or Dan, and Racer is practically a guaranteed successful kill since no one would think to protect him.  I do know that Dan has complimented Racer's improvements before and seems to think more positively of him as a player than others do, so maybe maf Dan would kill Racer knowing he's one of the better players who would definitely not be protected.


Seems like he doesn't want to dig into Racer or Zwiebel's interactions on D1. I think disregarding their posts is a mistake, mafia don't pick their kills randomly so there's likely a reason we can discover for the kills. J-Cop, if you don't want to look at their posts then who do you want to look at? Outside of Dan who do you think could have killed Racer and Zwiebel?

J-Cop wrote on 01/09/17 at 23:49:03:
Web wrote on 01/09/17 at 20:02:32:
My opinion is that any scans that come back mafia should be reported

If someone scanned a maf, they should definitely come forward.  However, we know that 4 actions were used at night, one was Vinnie's scan and the other was a vig shot.  The odds of someone scanning a maf as one of the other two actions aren't very high, so I'm hoping we still have the rest of our scans.  Once we know Vinnie's alignment, it will be easier to get reads on people based on if/when they jumped on the wagon.  Combine that with wagonomics from the D2 lynch, we should have a pretty good idea which people are likely town and which people are likely mafia.  If we can narrow the scum list down to a handful of people, the remaining scans can be used to pretty much put this game away by the start of D4.


Seems ready to sit back and wait for the end of D2 to see Vinnie's alignment rather than really pushing on anyone today. Since I now feel somewhat confident Vinnie will flip town this comes off as scummy.


J-Cop's very passive posting is not sitting well with me today at all. Saying "let's vote Lenny" and waiting for Vinnie's flip at the end of D2 is the easiest way to run out the clock on a day.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #510 - 01/10/17 at 10:03:14
 
oh, forgot this.

[vote]J-Cop[/vote]

That's three votes on J-Cop, remember that 6 ends the day. Be careful with any other votes placed on him.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #511 - 01/10/17 at 11:07:11
 
42 wrote on 01/10/17 at 08:30:34:
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 08:10:00:
It's not just Vinnie's posts that we should be looking at, but also how other people interacted with him. That is one of the reasons I am suspicious of J-Cop. He could be mafia regardless of Vinnie's alignment and I think the best lynch today is someone who could easily be mafia either way.


If Vinnie is town, who do you think is less/more likely to be mafia?

If Vinnie is mafia, who do you think is less/more likely to be mafia?


If Vinnie is town, mafia would more likely be people who took the easy road onto his wagon D1. Obviously that's a lot of people, I'd need to go back and examine the posts where people voted and their suggestions for other suspicions. I think TYG is town so if Vinnie flips town, I will believe that both leading wagons were likely on town, and so I'd be suspicious of other wagons that people tried to start that didn't take off. I would be more suspicious of you in that case, as well as Lafungo - it would strengthen my belief that one of you is mafia (probably not both).

There are not too many people who look better in my eyes if Vinnie flips town, unfortunately, other than Web. The two people who would have looked the best are dead, so yeah.

I'll save most of my thoughts for what happens if Vinnie flips mafia for after he comes back and gives his updated reads/thoughts on the game, if he does so (and he'd better), but I'll definitely give them before EoD. I did obviously give my J-Cop thoughts already.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #512 - 01/10/17 at 11:17:36
 
TvK wrote on 01/10/17 at 09:36:58:
TYG, Zac, J-Cop, Web, Vinnie, you've all come in here but you're yet to vote. Days are really short, so I would strongly advise you guys to use your votes. This goes especially for Vinnie and Web. Vinnie, I'll say it once again, if you are town, then you have 22 hours left to help your faction win. I really hope you make the most of that time.


If I had to vote now it'd likely be J-Cop for his lack of content and lack of posts. I expected more from him, I don't think he was classified as "low hanging fruit" at all. But seeing as he already is halfway to majority, it might be safer to leave the vote till closer to eod perhaps.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #513 - 01/10/17 at 11:35:03
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 04:36:18:
J-Cop wrote on 01/09/17 at 23:49:03:
If we can narrow the scum list down to a handful of people, the remaining scans can be used to pretty much put this game away by the start of D4.


This is the kind of scummy post I would expect a mafia member that knows that they have several roleblocks and/or controls left to make.

Day one I said the scans should be done anonymously.  That still applies here, the point is that the scanners come forward after they use their scan so maf can't block or control them.  I'm not in favor of anyone roleclaiming before using their night action, only after.

DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 04:45:04:
If Lenny and Vinnie were both lynched and were town, that would make things look very good for the mafia, wouldn't it? Lenny's play was terrible yesterday but we don't really have much to go off of from him. His inactivity, as well as just voting on the leading wagon, do look very scummy. However, I think we should look in other directions today and give Lenny more chances to talk (and maybe Shock can still consider subbing him) and try to make sure we have at least 1 mafia lynched between today's lynch and Vinnie.

I said earlier that my opinion on Lenny can change.  I'm willing to give him time to talk, which is why I haven't actually voted for him.  I'm just as confident about my read on Lafungo as I am on Lenny, with the difference being that my opinion on Lafungo probably won't change.  I'd be happy with a Lafungo lynch today, even if he wasn't my first choice.

DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 05:09:48:
J-Cop's two strongest reads all game have been on someone who was heavily scumread yesterday (Vinnie) and on a person who has two posts (Lenny). I would expect J-Cop to have better reads if he were town. I feel like he's playing an under-the-radar, hedge your bets scum game.


I'll admit I'm not very good at reading people, I'm much better at wagonomics than I am at picking apart dialogue.  Maybe you don't like me giving Lenny a maf lean, but that's the impression I got from him on day one.  As for Vinnie, I think my scumread on him was justified.  I know it was late in the day, but that was the first opportunity I had after the RVS stage of the game.

Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 10:01:40:
He also offers a somewhat halfhearted maf lean on Lafungo.

I explained my Lafungo lean on day one.  His explanation for voting for 42 didn't hold a lot of weight.  Then he disappeared for the rest of the day.  He also hasn't shown up today after more than 16 hours, which makes me think he wants to coast through as much as possible.  He would be a good help to the town if he chose to jump in, so why is he avoiding the discussion so much?  He's only made one post in the last 43 hours.

Web wrote on 01/10/17 at 10:01:40:
Seems like he doesn't want to dig into Racer or Zwiebel's interactions on D1. I think disregarding their posts is a mistake, mafia don't pick their kills randomly so there's likely a reason we can discover for the kills. J-Cop, if you don't want to look at their posts then who do you want to look at? Outside of Dan who do you think could have killed Racer and Zwiebel?

I'm not saying we shouldn't dig into their interactions, but their interactions probably aren't the main reason they were killed.  In a high power game, maf target players who aren't very likely to be protected.  It's the only way they can guarantee their kills and eliminate town players.  I mentioned Dan as a possibility, but really anyone could have chosen those two.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #514 - 01/10/17 at 11:38:25
 
J-Cop wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:35:03:
I explained my Lafungo lean on day one.  His explanation for voting for 42 didn't hold a lot of weight.  Then he disappeared for the rest of the day.  He also hasn't shown up today after more than 16 hours, which makes me think he wants to coast through as much as possible.  He would be a good help to the town if he chose to jump in, so why is he avoiding the discussion so much?  He's only made one post in the last 43 hours.

I'll single out this part of my last post because I think it's the most important part.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #515 - 01/10/17 at 11:43:30
 
Anyone else think maybe J-Cop and Lafungo are m/m? Both want to lynch Lenny. J-Cop has thrown some weak shade over Lafungo all game. Lafungo has been that weaker maf lean of J-Cop's this whole time, but hasn't received much attack from him. If they are indeed both maf their partner probably isn't Lenny.

Maybe I'm overthinking it. You guys have put a compelling case on J-Cop but I'm still reasonably sure on Lafungo as well.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #516 - 01/10/17 at 11:44:44
 
J-Cop wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:38:25:
J-Cop wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:35:03:
I explained my Lafungo lean on day one.  His explanation for voting for 42 didn't hold a lot of weight.  Then he disappeared for the rest of the day.  He also hasn't shown up today after more than 16 hours, which makes me think he wants to coast through as much as possible.  He would be a good help to the town if he chose to jump in, so why is he avoiding the discussion so much?  He's only made one post in the last 43 hours.

I'll single out this part of my last post because I think it's the most important part.


Other than you there's 8 people alive excluding Vinnie. If you're town, three of those are mafia (unless Vinnie is mafia). Who are you most sure of? I know you have mentioned Lenny and Lafungo quite a bit. You've been very UTR this game along with Zac.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #517 - 01/10/17 at 11:45:28
 
What do you think about Lafungo if Vinnie is town? You said on D1 that you thought his push on 42 was probably indicative of trying to draw attention away from the lead wagon. Is he still one of your top scum if Vinny is town? Who should we be looking at otherwise?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #518 - 01/10/17 at 11:46:21
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:45:28:
What do you think about Lafungo if Vinnie is town? You said on D1 that you thought his push on 42 was probably indicative of trying to draw attention away from the lead wagon. Is he still one of your top scum if Vinny is town? Who should we be looking at otherwise?


This is for J-Cop btw
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #519 - 01/10/17 at 11:47:01
 
J-Cop, would you mind giving a list of reads?
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #520 - 01/10/17 at 11:47:31
 
Lenny just seems like a very convenient push, one that I could see myself going for if I'm mafia and he's town.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #521 - 01/10/17 at 11:49:29
 
42 wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:43:30:
Anyone else think maybe J-Cop and Lafungo are m/m? Both want to lynch Lenny. J-Cop has thrown some weak shade over Lafungo all game. Lafungo has been that weaker maf lean of J-Cop's this whole time, but hasn't received much attack from him. If they are indeed both maf their partner probably isn't Lenny.

Maybe I'm overthinking it. You guys have put a compelling case on J-Cop but I'm still reasonably sure on Lafungo as well.

Who would you feel more confident voting right now, for the moment casting aside the fact that J-Cop currently has three votes on him? (aka don't let the fact he's closer to the lynch play into your response).
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #522 - 01/10/17 at 11:53:10
 
J-Cop wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:38:25:
J-Cop wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:35:03:
I explained my Lafungo lean on day one.  His explanation for voting for 42 didn't hold a lot of weight.  Then he disappeared for the rest of the day.  He also hasn't shown up today after more than 16 hours, which makes me think he wants to coast through as much as possible.  He would be a good help to the town if he chose to jump in, so why is he avoiding the discussion so much?  He's only made one post in the last 43 hours.

I'll single out this part of my last post because I think it's the most important part.


Yeah, I'm not liking that he hasn't shown up at all today.
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Re: Mafia: Day 2
Reply #523 - 01/10/17 at 11:53:13
 
DansGame wrote on 01/10/17 at 11:45:28:
What do you think about Lafungo if Vinnie is town? You said on D1 that you thought his push on 42 was probably indicative of trying to draw attention away from the lead wagon. Is he still one of your top scum if Vinny is town? Who should we be looking at otherwise?

At the time, it did look like he might be drawing attention away from a wagon on a scumbuddy.  That's probably not the case any more, but he also could've be avoiding a wagon on a townie to give himself towncred when Vinnie flips town.  His inactivity since then has only made him look worse, so yes, he's still one of my top scum reads if Vinnie is town.
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Re: Mafia: Day 1
Reply #524 - 01/10/17 at 11:53:27
 
Under the assumption Vinnie is town and wasn't redirected the D1 votes are:

8 - Vinnie: TvK, 42, TYG, Web, Racer, Dan, Lenny, J-Cop
1 - Web: Zwiebel
1 - 42: Lafungo
1 - TYG: Vinnie

Lafungo off wagon, Lenny and J-Cop late voters on Vinnie. Zac, whom I remember nothing about, didn't vote.

Still a little confused why the top seven posters were kept alive. NK meta points towards a high poster but I townread Dan and TvK.
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