TvK wrote on 08/13/16 at 06:59:01:With the knowledge we now have, I have such high confidence in the counterwagon that started on TYG and the people that were on it. In retrospect I feel very bad for killing off that wagon because I was too confident in my read on Leone. It also explains a lot why that wagon did not take off at all, it was indeed because mafia was pulling so hard on Leone.
Dan and Zoran shoot up in my townrankings for starting this wagon and Zwiebel gets a town ean as well. Leone is confirmed town as we know now. In my opinion, this wagon has a big chance of being pure.
Good, I stated exactly this in 582. I'm glad somebody else agreed with me on this point.
DansGame wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:06:04:John - He really only pushed on the obvious lynch candidate yesterday, Leone, and now he comes out at the beginning of the day and thought the pressure should be on Alaktorn more than TYG. If he's mafia at some point the mafia will have to put some suspicion on other members of the mafia and he would have looked even worse to me had he not said TYG looked scummy at all, so I don't give him town points for that.
Yes, the 2 people I felt most suspicious of yesterday were Leone and Michele, as already stated multiple times. However, since Leone spent most of his time after me, I don't understand why I wouldn't be expected to continually push on him. Even though we know *now* that he was town, he still acted like scum most of D1, and I wasn't going to let him divert that attention to me since I legitimately thought he *was* scum.
DansGame wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:06:04:Alaktorn - Just by virtue of the SG night kill.
JUST by virtue of that? What the hell happened to:
DansGame wrote on 08/12/16 at 14:35:38:Leone wrote on 08/12/16 at 13:56:03:@#463 I've iterated I haven't looked at alak in detail yet; I'm not giving him a lean either direction until I look in detail at their interactions. Same goes for the others I've yet to analyze, but my vote is going to who I think, out of those I've looked at, has a high chance of being maf. If I find someone else acting weirder my vote will go there.
Seems like you're trying to divert attention from yourself with that post. My vote stands.
TvK, Dan, thoughts on #463?
Honestly I can't blame him for wanting his vote to be on you. Your self-vote never made sense to me and he's just trying to pick up on the scummy things you've said so far. He points out that Alaktorn would look terrible if you get lynched and flip town, and I agree. Not that it would make Alaktorn mafia, but that it would make him look incredibly stupid.
Nobody wants to join me on the TYG wagon?
Dan, you said you understood why my vote was on Leone, *and* that Michele would look terrible if Leone flipped town, which he has. So yes, I immediately started D2 with a vote on Michele, and I don't see how Leone flipping town doesn't also factor in to your view of Michele seeming scummier than on D1.
DansGame wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:06:04:Townier than yesterday:
Zoran - his vote was never on Leone, he was going after PAF who I think is town, then he was the only person to join me on the TYG wagon when no one else was going.
Already addressed in 582 - due to TYG wagon, you/Zoran are currently my biggest townreads, even if you don't feel the same about me for some reason.
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:30:20:DansGame wrote on 08/13/16 at 06:54:00:I think that's a good idea. However, I also think that mafia might have put one person on the other side of the Alaktorn/Dan exchange. If Alaktorn is town, John is mafia and the person on the other side of that exchange.
John being Mafia wouldn’t surprise me.
It would certainly surprise me!
DansGame wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:38:42:ALAKTORN wrote on 08/13/16 at 07:30:20:Then you’re pretty sure John is Mafia.
Yeah, tbh I think he's more likely scum than you. As I said earlier, I don't think you so bullishly put Leone and I as 100% mafia together if you are mafia knowing that Leone will flip town. And, I think John has been trying to take the easy road by targeting Leone and then you, plus I really really don't like his "pretty sure we're going to have to choose between Alaktorn and Dan at some point" comment.
I still stand by that comment - I do believe that there is a maf out of you/Michele. Until I see something to tell me otherwise, I believe it's Michele currently. My first posts of the game were pointing out that I didn't like the way he was interacting with you, I didn't say anything about Leone until after talking about you two.
Yoshistar™ wrote on 08/13/16 at 08:03:29:You have to give us GOOD reads to make it convincing Lewis, saying that your reads suck is not a good way to get away with it.
Is anyone gonna join me in a good hearty laugh?
TvK wrote on 08/13/16 at 08:22:57:Okay, I'm determined now to keep an eye on everyone today, and to stop focusing on one person. So let's have a look at John. I really don't like the way he came in left again.
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/13/16 at 06:34:00:Well, that sucks. However, I think we all know where to begin this day...
[vote]ALAKTORN[/vote]
Let's see what Michele has to say about Leone flipping town, after claiming multiple times that it was impossible.
To address some other points that came up after I was gone for the end of D1:
Dan (507): Yes, I did say that I'd need to choose between you/Michele at some point. In 385, I say Michele is the more likely maf out of you two. Also see my post 465 where I still say Michele is my second biggest scumread (after Leone), based on his interaction with you. Particularly now that Leone has flipped town, Michele is my biggest scumread and I feel better about you as a result.
Racer (572/577): Literally 1 minute apart...first votes for Leone, then says maf would "hop on a mislynch" - you mean like you just did?
TYG: Already addressed by multiple other people, outright stating that you're withholding reads because they might hurt town? No, withholding information hurts town more - we need all we can get. Seriously, that's the point of this damn game. Finally posts reads 4 minutes before EoD, most of which are "not sure yet"
Zoran: Immediately jumped on TYG's "not gonna post reads because I'll hurt town" post, as it deserved. Helped jumpstart the counterwagon there (I think Dan already had his vote there before, but he was the only one for a while) even if TvK killed it. Also the only person besides me to get scumread on Michele from the exchanges with Dan, which I also mention in 385.
Based on the above, as of right now my 2 biggest townreads are Dan/Zoran, and my 2 biggest scumreads are Michele/Lewis. If Dan/Zoran are town, then the wagon on Lewis is gonna look extremely clean, unless maf!Timur decided to hop on there to avoid being on the Leone mislynch (definitely something to consider, though I don't have any strong feelings about him one way or the other yet).
What do you think of his strong vote on ALAKTORN? He says there has to be one scum between Dan and ALAK, and as Dan is his top town read, it has to be ALAK. However, his top town read Dan has already said he think ALAK is town as well. Which is also something I have said too. Does this feel like John is doing the exact same thing as last day? Yes, I think it does. Just like yesterday, he's putting his vote on someone with a lot of determination. Once again, others get very little attention. In this post it seems like he thinks Racer's last minute vote moght be scummy, but in one of his next posts he says it's probably too stupid to be maf. He's also talking about TYG, apparently saying that he thinks TYG is being scummy, but once again, he formulates it in such way that he can either say that TYG is scummy or that TYG is just stupid town. It's a very shady post, if you ask me.
Yes, maybe I'm susceptible to getting tunnel vision, but that's exactly what I've already mentioned in this post - if Leone flipped town, Michele would far and away be my biggest scumread. I've yet to see anything to convince me otherwise.
Regarding TYG: Where do I say he's either maf or stupid town? I literally said (in the post you quoted!) that he/Michele are my biggest scumreads. Not sure how you managed to miss that.
This post has gotten long, I will make another. Still catching up.