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Mafia: Town of Memes - Mafia Victory (Read 18291 times)
P.A.F.625
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1475 - 08/17/16 at 15:26:44
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:15:20:
P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:03:52:
I'm not sure if I get this... I was undecided between Kyle and TYG; I had long decided that I wouldn't vote YS because I was fooled my maf's elaborate plan involving YS acting like previous games as noob town.

u wot


I laughed at it myself.
B is 2 keys away from M on QWERTY. And maybe there's a chance that "ny" would autocorrect to "my", idk. I've seen that mistake myself in my previous posts, but in time to fix...
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ALAKTORN wrote on 08/18/16 at 15:07:13:
I don’t make mistakes. Others do and I pick up on them.
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1476 - 08/17/16 at 15:27:03
 
Racer any thoughts?
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1477 - 08/17/16 at 15:29:38
 
Damn glitch

Racer any thoughts on this?
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1478 - 08/17/16 at 15:31:43
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:24:11:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:22:13:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:18:51:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:13:54:
As town, you need to convince yourself of someone's alignment by going over posts, looking into details and analysing interactions. When you think you have made a solid read on someone, you will see that person alignment show in their posts and the longer it takes, the harder it will be to even imagine that person being of the other alignment. Take a look at ALAKTORN all game long, for example.

Well thanks, so do you think I’m Town now?


The PAF/Zwiebel connection is too strong. Yes, I think you're town.

So what do you think of my theory of Yoshistar’s manipulation being beyond Timur’s capabilities due to unfamiliarity? Mind refuting that if you’re going for a YS/PAF/Timur scum team?


Timur played with YS in resistance. He knows YS hasn't got a clue about how games like this work. I wouldn't put it past Timur to be able to instruct YS to post a couple of these interactions with Kyle. Note how infrequent YS's posting was, at some point he even posted about his Pokémon in another thread without posting in here. Timur had more than enough time to instruct YS.
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1479 - 08/17/16 at 15:35:24
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:42:23:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:40:33:
Zoran's 1397/1399: You say PAF/Michele scum team impossible, I don't think that's true. It's definitely still a very strong possibility imo.

Current thoughts:
Michele is scum. Scumbuddy is most likely PAF or TvK. Timur and Racer are also possible scumbuddies, but lesser probability than PAF/TvK.


I will look into that once more, going through old posts yet again.

You just got persuaded by complete fluff by the way.

TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:31:43:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:24:11:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:22:13:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:18:51:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:13:54:
As town, you need to convince yourself of someone's alignment by going over posts, looking into details and analysing interactions. When you think you have made a solid read on someone, you will see that person alignment show in their posts and the longer it takes, the harder it will be to even imagine that person being of the other alignment. Take a look at ALAKTORN all game long, for example.

Well thanks, so do you think I’m Town now?


The PAF/Zwiebel connection is too strong. Yes, I think you're town.

So what do you think of my theory of Yoshistar’s manipulation being beyond Timur’s capabilities due to unfamiliarity? Mind refuting that if you’re going for a YS/PAF/Timur scum team?


Timur played with YS in resistance. He knows YS hasn't got a clue about how games like this work. I wouldn't put it past Timur to be able to instruct YS to post a couple of these interactions with Kyle. Note how infrequent YS's posting was, at some point he even posted about his Pokémon in another thread without posting in here. Timur had more than enough time to instruct YS.

Goddamnit I forgot about Resistance, that makes a lot of sense. Didn’t he meme “I’m 75% Rebel” in that game?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1480 - 08/17/16 at 15:35:26
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 09:00:49:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/12/16 at 15:39:26:
I’ll take responsibility for your vote then. Vote Leone.


You took no responsibillity, instead you pushed town into another misyinch.

I view this as trying to absolve PAF for his vote. If you (Michele) were found out to be scum later (which you have been), PAF can easily say "I didn't realize it was a bad vote" or some shit. Basically, it *seems* like an obvious case of maf deliberately misleading town, but I think it could just as easily be a m/m interaction because people are very likely to think "maf was misleading town" as the obvious conclusion.

Was gonna say more but gotta head out for a bit. Will address more later.
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1481 - 08/17/16 at 15:37:58
 
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:13:54:
As town, you need to convince yourself of someone's alignment by going over posts, looking into details and analysing interactions. When you think you have made a solid read on someone, you will see that person alignment show in their posts and the longer it takes, the harder it will be to even imagine that person being of the other alignment. Take a look at ALAKTORN all game long, for example.


Are you sure that applies to inexperienced players? Sometimes I get ideas late in the game. Example: on D1 I was mostly neutral about ALAKTORN, varying between slight maf and town leans. But in mid-D2, I got the idea that his arrogant behaviour was natural and that made me believe he was town. And at the beginning of D4, I felt that I didn't think enough about how would he would act as maf and then felt a bit dumb about think of him as town.

Also, lynch flips may make me see posts differently, case of Zwiebel's post against Kyle. Before lynch it convinced me, after it I started thinking about it having hidden flaws or something.

I'm sorry I look so much like a typical noob maf, but there isn't much I can do. I already try to scumhunt.
Do you have any questions about me?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 08/18/16 at 15:07:13:
I don’t make mistakes. Others do and I pick up on them.
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1482 - 08/17/16 at 15:39:07
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:35:24:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:31:43:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:24:11:
So what do you think of my theory of Yoshistar’s manipulation being beyond Timur’s capabilities due to unfamiliarity? Mind refuting that if you’re going for a YS/PAF/Timur scum team?


Timur played with YS in resistance. He knows YS hasn't got a clue about how games like this work. I wouldn't put it past Timur to be able to instruct YS to post a couple of these interactions with Kyle. Note how infrequent YS's posting was, at some point he even posted about his Pokémon in another thread without posting in here. Timur had more than enough time to instruct YS.

Goddamnit I forgot about Resistance, that makes a lot of sense. Didn’t he meme “I’m 75% Rebel” in that game?

Since I went looking for it…

Zwiebel wrote on 06/14/16 at 07:28:55:
Yoshistar™ wrote on 06/14/16 at 07:06:58:
TvK wrote on 06/14/16 at 04:40:17:
You do realize that you already have 5 people at 50% or more in your readslist. And that is not even including yourself.So, are you admitting you are a Spy here? What % would you put yourself on?

75% resistance.


wat

you should be 100% resistance to yourself


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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1483 - 08/17/16 at 15:45:19
 
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:35:26:
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 09:00:49:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/12/16 at 15:39:26:
I’ll take responsibility for your vote then. Vote Leone.


You took no responsibillity, instead you pushed town into another misyinch.

I view this as trying to absolve PAF for his vote. If you (Michele) were found out to be scum later (which you have been), PAF can easily say "I didn't realize it was a bad vote" or some shit. Basically, it *seems* like an obvious case of maf deliberately misleading town, but I think it could just as easily be a m/m interaction because people are very likely to think "maf was misleading town" as the obvious conclusion.

Was gonna say more but gotta head out for a bit. Will address more later.

What it was was me being 100% certain Leone would flip Mafia and wanting nothing else but his lynch. Also what Zoran said there is not true, I was the one to push for the YS lynch on D2. I started the day telling people that TYG was Town and they needed to get on the YS wagon. I think we all agree that TYG is Town now, so I’ll leave it at that. As far as Kyle goes, you can’t fault me for that. If you think Kyle didn’t bring it upon himself, you’re an idiot yourself.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1484 - 08/17/16 at 15:46:59
 
P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:37:58:
Do you have any questions about me?

Well I guess it’s better than nothing so can you make a post where you list every player, give them a t/m %, and explain why?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1485 - 08/17/16 at 15:47:20
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:27:03:
Racer any thoughts?

I don't know. PAF does seems scummy, but I'm worried that if he is town, we mislynch, town is done. That being said, I'm not sold on Timur being Maf. Is anyone going to being up my post about John? (It's the only other post I've posted this day.)
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1486 - 08/17/16 at 15:52:56
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:14:41:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:04:35:
A counterclaim would out a Mafia… isn’t that perfect? Even if you mislynch once, next time you just have to go for the other guy who claimed Doctor… it can only be Mafia.

A counterclaim only outs a mafia at the cost of our remaining mislynch. That seems to warrant some caution.

1. No, it’s not at the cost of a mislynch. It’s at the cost of a 50/50, which is probably far better odds than we currently have of just lynching a Mafia through analysis.
2. Even if it were at the cost of a mislynch, we would then be 100% certain of killing a Mafia. With 8 players alive, we would go 4–2 (6 alive next day, 2 Mafia). Then we kill the Mafia… 3–1. Oh, look at that. We can vote No Lynch and have better odds at winning the game when we’re 2 vs. 1.

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:04:35:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:54:46:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:50:44:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:42:59:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:40:33:
Zoran's 1397/1399: You say PAF/Michele scum team impossible, I don't think that's true. It's definitely still a very strong possibility imo.

Why do you think that? Mind refuting his arguments instead of just saying “I disagree”?

He posted your interactions, and I don't interpret them the same way he does. Also, looking at it independently, PAF's posting on his own (regardless of interactions with you) and his voting history is horrendous. Since he seems the most scummy to me (after you, of course), I think you two could very probably be m/m, and I just don't want Zoran to discount the possibility yet.

Well then, how do you interpret them? No need to withhold information.

I interpret them as possible m/m interaction, what more are you looking for?

I’m looking for explanations of why they’re m/m interactions.

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:04:35:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:54:46:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:50:44:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:42:59:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:40:33:
Current thoughts:
Michele is scum. Scumbuddy is most likely PAF or TvK. Timur and Racer are also possible scumbuddies, but lesser probability than PAF/TvK.

That’s not going to win us the game. You’re scumreading too many players. With only 1 mislynch, how do you plan on winning?

I think it's PAF/TvK, personally. That would allow for 1 mislynch. However, others feel very strongly about Timur it seems, and I'm willing to hear those arguments in case it changes my mind. Racer is kinda an afterthought, extremely low probability that I'm willing to throw him off the list.

I don’t know what you’re trying to say here. You want us to lynch ALAK (1 mislynch), then go after PAF and then go after TvK? And you think that wins us the game?

No, I want to lynch you (1 maf), then go for PAF or TvK since those are your 2 most likely scumbuddies in my eyes. PAF higher on that list, he's my primary choice at the moment. And no, that's not going to win *you* the game, but it'll win the game for me and the rest of the town.

And what happens if I’m the mislynch? Your whole theory falls apart and Town loses the game? [/quote]
John, you’re not this stupid. I want you to explain this post when you’re back.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1487 - 08/17/16 at 15:56:37
 
^Bloody fuck what the fuck happened. Quoting that post doesn’t work. Ignore that.

http://www.mariokart64.com/cgi-bin/yabb2/YaBB.pl?num=1470769521/1468#1468
John, you’re not this stupid. I want you to explain this post when you’re back.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1488 - 08/17/16 at 16:02:56
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.


How do you feel about Tvk thinking you and PAF are maf pair?
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1489 - 08/17/16 at 16:03:16
 
Racer727 wrote on 08/17/16 at 10:20:28:
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 09:35:37:
This is my post on 3rd person, John. I want to know, who is whos scum buddy. I see zwiebel and Tvk as t/m or m/t. I want ot see what other connections are possible.

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/12/16 at 07:51:25:
TvK - nothing changed much here, you are definitely acting like town but I also believe that you could play this way if you were maf.
Dan/Michele - I addressed this again later, out of these 2 I think Michele is more likely maf than Dan. Highly unlikely m/m pair.

Timur - jumped in firing at Dan, at least he's seeming to do some active scumhunting with his content/tone of posts. Townie behavior, even if I disagree with his read on Dan atm.


I can't say the wagon on Dan is "driven" by maf since YS currently has the oldest vote on said wagon (I think)...but this tricycle seems misled imo. I still haven't liked anything YS has had to say, he's either maf or useless town.

Anyone else have anything they'd like me to address?


Not much info on Tvk, Alak more likely maf, less likely m/m. Zwiebel is doing active scumhunting...don't make me laugh.


johnboy81918 wrote on 08/13/16 at 11:52:57:
I'll be around a bit longer before heading out for a while. I'll be back later in the evening to address anything that comes up during that time.

TvK, I'd still like to understand your posts against me better. You said Leone did no real scumhunting, but then said since I was his top scumread I'm worthy of more suspicion - I don't see how those 2 sentiments jive together. You also said I was trying to be purposely vague about Lewis (presumably to give myself an out if I were maf!John talking about town!Lewis? I'm guessing that's what you're going for?) even though I explicitly stated him with Michele as my scumreads.


Few posts discussing with Tvk, would m/m combo do this?

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/13/16 at 12:16:07:
I really hated your approach to Dan on D1. It wasn't a genuine approach of trying to gather information, rather it was more of a bad trap. Here's how I viewed the sequence of events:
- You put pressure on Dan. This is fine and necessary, we're not going to learn about people without some pressure of course.
- Dan now has 3 options to respond to your pressure: defend, retaliate, or do nothing.
- Dan chooses to both defend AND retaliate.
- You scumread Dan. This is the part that I don't like - you can't just scumread somebody for responding to your pressure, he didn't have a choice but to respond to it.

Like I said, I don't like that approach at all - it doesn't seem like information gathering, it seems more like a witch hunt. Townies need to be in information gathering mode at all times, not witch hunt mode.


Not talking kind of Alak - less likely m/m

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/16/16 at 17:45:05:
kyleb30 wrote on 08/16/16 at 17:38:55:
I see we're basically at 4-4. John, do you know who you'll vote?

Until I'm persuaded otherwise, I plan to vote you. I wanted you or Michele to be the lynch today (I am still convinced you two are m/t), and the case against you is far better to me atm (also, no chance of Michele lynch today based on current wagons).


Voted kyle, setting up Alak for a mislynch? If Alak turns town, this adds up to Zwiebel-John theory

CONCLUSION:

As i said before, there was 1 great post from John on YS D1 which makes me think he is less likely maf. Kyle vite D3 doesn't help.

Alak/John m/m combo is impossible.
Paf/John very unlikely - i have to look more into it
TVk/John i don't think so - i have to look more into it

Most likely scum buddy is Zwiebel. If i had to chose another one right now it would be Tvk.

I need more time to study John.

I'm here. And boy, lynching Kyle was a bad mistake. But I guess the doc makes up for it.  Smiley

I quoted this post because look at John's first post that Xoran quoted. It reads, "I don't think Dan's wagon was Maf lead, because YS was the one to start it."
Did I read that right? Is that soft protecting his scumbuddy YS? After that he tried to dismiss it by calling YS a Maf or noob town, but I think the damage was done. Iirc, YS never really talked about John, is that the smart player in the Maf group trying to save his buddy by telling YS never to really mention him? I find this interesting. John is looking pretty scummy right now.

That’s a possibility I guess.

Racer, if you’re Town, you need to be more active. Post what you think.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1490 - 08/17/16 at 16:05:56
 
P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:37:58:
TvK wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:13:54:
As town, you need to convince yourself of someone's alignment by going over posts, looking into details and analysing interactions. When you think you have made a solid read on someone, you will see that person alignment show in their posts and the longer it takes, the harder it will be to even imagine that person being of the other alignment. Take a look at ALAKTORN all game long, for example.


Are you sure that applies to inexperienced players? Sometimes I get ideas late in the game. Example: on D1 I was mostly neutral about ALAKTORN, varying between slight maf and town leans. But in mid-D2, I got the idea that his arrogant behaviour was natural and that made me believe he was town. And at the beginning of D4, I felt that I didn't think enough about how would he would act as maf and then felt a bit dumb about think of him as town.

Also, lynch flips may make me see posts differently, case of Zwiebel's post against Kyle. Before lynch it convinced me, after it I started thinking about it having hidden flaws or something.

I'm sorry I look so much like a typical noob maf, but there isn't much I can do. I already try to scumhunt.
Do you have any questions about me?


Do you think there were hidden flaws? If there are, then feel free to point them out.

You know, in my first game ever I was scared to post, even tho I was Town. I didn't know what to post, I was totally confused. With time, you learn that you have to be confident in your own reads, else you will never persuade others to follow you, and just following other's makes you an easy target for Maf to get mislynched(or Town to correctly lynch you if you're Maf). That's why I'm pushing so hard for TvK today, because I'm convinced that I'm correct, and I want people to see my arguments. I'm not sure if you're playing the "I'm just noob Town" card here or actually are noob Town, but if you're Town, then please just go all out and think for yourself. Make your mind up, even if it's just agreeing on theories or not. Don't feel bad you might be wrong, if you think your argument is strong don't let others persuade you, unless they give you an even better argument. Town needs every input, might it be from a noob or from the best player in existence.

That said, I want you to comment on everything that happened today, and who you think is the best lynch today. Do you think my points on TvK make sense? Do you think his defense is good? what do you think about Alak/John argument?
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1491 - 08/17/16 at 16:08:44
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:02:56:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.


How do you feel about Tvk thinking you and PAF are maf pair?

Can you stop ignoring me?

ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 13:29:26:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 13:27:18:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 13:21:53:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 13:20:26:
Also if I gotta be honest? I don’t think Timur as a scumbuddy to Yoshistar works, Timur has never played Mafia with us and he doesn’t know that Yoshistar is retarded. Yoshistar was beautifully coached into being a retard and putting as off about Kyle, I don’t think Timur can do something like that.

If this premise is correct, I’m going off on a limb and declare Maf team YS/Timur/PAF to be impossible. TvK or John definitely make a ton more sense in that team.

YS/John/PAF is a possibility. They used YS to put scum over Kyle and TvK, the question is what was their next plan after either mislynch of Kyle or TvK? Obviously after either Kyle or TvK is mislynched, the other one’s scumminess is put into question because it becomes clear that Yoshistar was coached into throwing dirt at them (and by that I mean its exact opposite, YS was defending them for no apparent reason).

Or the team could be YS/TvK/PAF and TvK wanted the Kyle mislynch all along, so that we would question the connection between YS and TvK at that point.

Considering all of this, I think we win the game if we lynch PAF and he flips Mafia. The problem is if he’s Town. Also, Zoran seems dead set on lynching either Timur or TvK, so I need to know his opinion on whether or not we should lynch PAF instead.


ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 12:06:21:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
Last post hit character limit, but that was all I could find on D2 anyway. I probably missed a lot, but I think these are the posts we can take the most from.

I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.

You say PAF/TvK are the most likely while Zoran says they’re not likely. I want to see Zoran reply to this. I think Zoran is more Townie than you are, but I agree with your analysis of them more than the one of Zoran.


I also want to know again why you think we must lynch Timur/TvK today.

I also think we should be looking at YS’s posts again, and possibly Dan’s (as that could’ve been a kill from fear). I’m too lazy to go dig them up though, can someone else do it?

I should re-read D3… but I haven’t yet.
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LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1492 - 08/17/16 at 16:11:22
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:46:59:
P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:37:58:
Do you have any questions about me?

Well I guess it’s better than nothing so can you make a post where you list every player, give them a t/m %, and explain why?


Okay but first...

Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 12:27:14:
What? You think John* Zwiebel are Maf, yet we BOTH voted for YS? Let's assume you are correct about John and me being Maf, I don't think that's likely at all, we could've made the vote 5-3 for kyle to avoid a YS lynch. Why not take the Town lynch over the Maf lynch as Maf? Or we could just vote for TYG and make it 3-3-3. It would've been one more day with YS around, and I think that would've benefitted Maf a lot more. Yet we vote him when we have 2 alternatives? I don't think that logic holds.


I have to admit, this seems somewhat convincing. It wouldn't even be considered as advanced bussing. Do you see any flaw in this?
However, I think it's very likely there's one maf in John/Zwiebel... at this point I tend towards John with TvK.

So...
John - 85% maf - somewhat inactive through the whole game, replies suspiciously to Kyle on D3; but mostly he's part of the only likely m/m pairs.
TvK - 65% maf - not caring much about YS at D1/D2 beginning; showing a bit of frustration; coming after me D3/D4; part of the most likely maf combo.
Zwiebel - 40% maf - part of some likely maf combos; suspicious post on Kyle; in general inactive.
Racer - 60% town - may be acting naturally after learning the game's tactics, but insists on them a bit too much. There's a chance he was getting coached at some point.
ALAK - 65% town - seems to act naturally... idk, he doesn't appear in any decent maf pairings...
TYG - 90% town - didn't vote on YS when he was onto him, can't be m/m... right?
Zoran - 95% town - scum hunting a lot and in every direction, doesn't seem to follow anyone, nothing to make him suspect.

Now, if you excuse me, I REALLY need some sleep...
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ALAKTORN wrote on 08/18/16 at 15:07:13:
I don’t make mistakes. Others do and I pick up on them.
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1493 - 08/17/16 at 16:15:49
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:02:56:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.


How do you feel about Tvk thinking you and PAF are maf pair?


This is actually something I've been thinking about a lot so far today, and I haven't come to a conclusion yet...I mean, he knows I will flip Town and he will look terrible once I flip, so maybe he wants to throw PAF under the bus, then get me lynched(cause he thinks there's a connection), and then hope to have gained enough cred to survive 1 more day, but that's really risky...I don't know if I can believe that. If they were both Maf, it would be so much easier to just jump on John's Alak wagon and try to get him lynched first in my eyes...

I think there are 2 possibilities,

1) TvK thinks he's gonna get lynched today anyway and wants to protect PAF from being the next lynch by bussing him hard today

2) PAF is Town, and TvK is trying to get another mislynch

I'm not sure yet. As I said in my last post, I hope PAF will come out and post a lot today, so we can deduce more from that.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1494 - 08/17/16 at 16:20:56
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.


How do you feel about Tvk thinking you and PAF are maf pair? [/quote]


P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:11:22:
However, I think it's very likely there's one maf in John/Zwiebel... at this point I tend towards John with TvK.

So...
John - 85% maf - somewhat inactive through the whole game, replies suspiciously to Kyle on D3; but mostly he's part of the only likely m/m pairs.
TvK - 65% maf - not caring much about YS at D1/D2 beginning; showing a bit of frustration; coming after me D3/D4; part of the most likely maf combo.
Zwiebel - 40% maf - part of some likely maf combos; suspicious post on Kyle; in general inactive.


Thoughts on the whole situation Zwiebel?  How do you feel about PAF listing Tvk so high on scum read?
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1495 - 08/17/16 at 16:21:02
 
@Alak I've included some of Dan's posts in my big post today, also about why I think they killed him. You should read that again
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1496 - 08/17/16 at 16:21:19
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:14:41:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 15:04:35:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:54:46:
johnboy81918 wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:50:44:
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 14:40:52:
How do others feel, should doctor role claim?

Not yet...too hard of a claim to verify anyway (person doesn't know if they were saved). What if someone counterclaims? We need to figure out all the ramifications before deciding on this.

A counterclaim would out a Mafia… isn’t that perfect? Even if you mislynch once, next time you just have to go for the other guy who claimed Doctor… it can only be Mafia.

A counterclaim only outs a mafia at the cost of our remaining mislynch. That seems to warrant some caution.


1. No, it’s not at the cost of a mislynch. It’s at the cost of a 50/50, which is probably far better odds than we currently have of just lynching a Mafia through analysis.
2. Even if it were at the cost of a mislynch, we would then be 100% certain of killing a Mafia. With 8 players alive, we would go 4–2 (6 alive next day, 2 Mafia). Then we kill the Mafia… 3–1. Oh, look at that. We can vote No Lynch and have better odds at winning the game when we’re 2 vs. 1.

Going back to this, I just realized that it would be a good strategy to get a mislynch today, if that mislynch gives us a close to 100% chance of getting a Mafia next. If my math isn’t wrong I definitely think we cannot allow ourselves to do a lynch with no information… if we’re lynching someone and they flip Town, we must know who the Mafia is. I think that’s the point Zoran has been trying to get across all along but I still don’t understand why he thinks Timur/TvK is one such lynch.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1497 - 08/17/16 at 16:22:59
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:21:02:
@Alak I've included some of Dan's posts in my big post today, also about why I think they killed him. You should read that again

pls quote
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1498 - 08/17/16 at 16:24:15
 
no control wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:20:56:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/17/16 at 11:10:32:
I think PAF/TvK is most likely right now.


How do you feel about Tvk thinking you and PAF are maf pair?



P.A.F.625 wrote on 08/17/16 at 16:11:22:
However, I think it's very likely there's one maf in John/Zwiebel... at this point I tend towards John with TvK.

So...
John - 85% maf - somewhat inactive through the whole game, replies suspiciously to Kyle on D3; but mostly he's part of the only likely m/m pairs.
TvK - 65% maf - not caring much about YS at D1/D2 beginning; showing a bit of frustration; coming after me D3/D4; part of the most likely maf combo.
Zwiebel - 40% maf - part of some likely maf combos; suspicious post on Kyle; in general inactive.


Thoughts on the whole situation Zwiebel?  How do you feel about PAF listing Tvk so high on scum read?
[/quote]

I just posted what I think.

PAF switching his opinion and now thinking TvK is more scummy than me could either mean that they are set to lynch TvK today to make PAF look better(#1 I wrote before) or he could just have listened to my arguments and seen the logic behind that as Town(#2).

I really don't think we should lynch PAF today.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 4 - Town of Memes
Reply #1499 - 08/17/16 at 16:25:49
 
@Alak #1396 and #1408

Second one is more important, you should read both tho if you haven't already
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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