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Mafia: Town of Memes - Mafia Victory (Read 18291 times)
Zwiebel
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1300 - 08/16/16 at 15:31:38
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:51:26:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:46:34:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 08:22:07:
Hey, on my lunch break.  I would like to point out that I am now 100% certain there's a maf between TvK and Zwiebel.

If the hypothetical maf member outside of this group wanted to on n2 he could have easily killed one making the other look really bad, especially since there definitely wouldn't have been a doctor on them.  And if one of them is maf they wouldn't kill the other either to keep them around to try and mislynch them, or even more likely use the other person to hide behind to make the lynch less guaranteed to force it on someone outside of these two.

I think today's lynch should definitely be one of these two, I can't stress this enough.


Okay, let's assume quick that you and Zwiebel are t/t. Out of the "top players that did the sportsguy kill" or whatever you two by far have raised the most suspicion and look the worst,  but still neither of your lynches are guaranteed for the next day yet. So for our current great basically confirmed townies at this point (Dan, Zoran)  they're both very likely to be protected by the doctor,  lets say 50% chance on each since I don't see anyone else being protected. Now let's go back to you and Zwiebel,  both of you seeming very suspicious at this point but both town in our hypothetical scenario. There is a 0% chance either of you will be protected  by doctor and the kill makes the other one look even worse by being the only scummy "top player who does the sportsguy kill" So in this scenario where you're both town why does mafia not kill either of you?

That’s an interesting point. On D2 we analyzed the SG kill, but on D3 we didn’t analyze Dan’s kill much I think. If the Mafia were scared of him and killed him because of that, maybe we should look at Dan’s reads from the end of D2.


You forget about TvK in your scenario. He's just as well in this game, if not even better than us. He could've been the "top player behind the SG kill", too...unless you think he's cleared Town?On top of that, look at my post #1232(page50). I don't think the SG argument works anymore, I think it might just as well have been kyle to come up with this kill.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1301 - 08/16/16 at 15:32:00
 
le glitch                        
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1302 - 08/16/16 at 15:35:35
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/16/16 at 15:31:38:
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:51:26:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:46:34:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 08:22:07:
Hey, on my lunch break.  I would like to point out that I am now 100% certain there's a maf between TvK and Zwiebel.

If the hypothetical maf member outside of this group wanted to on n2 he could have easily killed one making the other look really bad, especially since there definitely wouldn't have been a doctor on them.  And if one of them is maf they wouldn't kill the other either to keep them around to try and mislynch them, or even more likely use the other person to hide behind to make the lynch less guaranteed to force it on someone outside of these two.

I think today's lynch should definitely be one of these two, I can't stress this enough.


Okay, let's assume quick that you and Zwiebel are t/t. Out of the "top players that did the sportsguy kill" or whatever you two by far have raised the most suspicion and look the worst,  but still neither of your lynches are guaranteed for the next day yet. So for our current great basically confirmed townies at this point (Dan, Zoran)  they're both very likely to be protected by the doctor,  lets say 50% chance on each since I don't see anyone else being protected. Now let's go back to you and Zwiebel,  both of you seeming very suspicious at this point but both town in our hypothetical scenario. There is a 0% chance either of you will be protected  by doctor and the kill makes the other one look even worse by being the only scummy "top player who does the sportsguy kill" So in this scenario where you're both town why does mafia not kill either of you?

That’s an interesting point. On D2 we analyzed the SG kill, but on D3 we didn’t analyze Dan’s kill much I think. If the Mafia were scared of him and killed him because of that, maybe we should look at Dan’s reads from the end of D2.


You forget about TvK in your scenario. He's just as well in this game, if not even better than us. He could've been the "top player behind the SG kill", too...unless you think he's cleared Town?On top of that, look at my post #1232(page50). I don't think the SG argument works anymore, I think it might just as well have been kyle to come up with this kill.


Wait, with "you and Zwiebel", did you mean Alaktorn and me or TvK and me?
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1303 - 08/16/16 at 15:38:15
 
^I assumed TvK.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1304 - 08/16/16 at 15:43:33
 
@TvK Okay, I see where you're coming from I guess.  I still thought I explained my John vote well and it made a lot of sense to me anyway. I don't think I put you at the top of my read list exactly,  my list really wasn't in any particular order at all. I was just surprised also at the possibility of you being maf too since I had completely ruled it out. My first reads on you and Dan were pretty much a shit post because I still had no reads and I knew if I didn't post at least one thing I'd be dead that day for sure. But yeah I see how those connected look bad
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1305 - 08/16/16 at 15:44:51
 
@Zwiebel I meant TvK lol
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1306 - 08/16/16 at 15:45:52
 
no control wrote on 08/16/16 at 15:26:36:
John, can you tell us what you think of each person?

Sorry, still catching up while trying to make dinner, haven't really been reading the current page yet.

Kyle: most likely maf out of everyone
TvK: possibly maf, regardless of Kyle's flip
Timur: possibly maf, but only with Kyle (I think Timur/Michele m/m is too obvious to be true)
Michele: town, *if* Kyle is maf (I think this is more likely than the reverse scenario)
PAF/Racer: both also town, *if* Kyle is maf - both are also possible Michele scumbuddies
Zoran/Lewis: both cleared town imo
John: 100% town (you did say *each person* Grin)
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1307 - 08/16/16 at 15:52:25
 
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 15:44:51:
@Zwiebel I meant TvK lol


Allright, guess that makes more sense. I kinda agree with you there, and knowing that I'm town, makes me even more sus of TvK.

idk, maybe we should lynch TvK over kyle? As I said, I think both of them are Maf anyway. Doesn't matter too much who we lynch imo. I just think if kyle flips Maf it would imply TvK a lot more than a TvK Maf flip would imply kyle.
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1308 - 08/16/16 at 16:02:18
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:27:47:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:25:22:
Page glitch pls

Also @Zoran I don't want the day to end early I guess,  but out of those 2 my vote is on Zwiebel.


Can you read my analysis (or anyone else's) and tell me why you would vote me over kyle? For me YS basically gave kyle away.


and please answer this tyg
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TvK wrote on 05/27/14 at 03:07:54:
You should all listen to Timur. He's an onion.



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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1309 - 08/16/16 at 16:05:56
 
TvK wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:56:39:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:46:34:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 08:22:07:
Hey, on my lunch break.  I would like to point out that I am now 100% certain there's a maf between TvK and Zwiebel.

If the hypothetical maf member outside of this group wanted to on n2 he could have easily killed one making the other look really bad, especially since there definitely wouldn't have been a doctor on them.  And if one of them is maf they wouldn't kill the other either to keep them around to try and mislynch them, or even more likely use the other person to hide behind to make the lynch less guaranteed to force it on someone outside of these two.

I think today's lynch should definitely be one of these two, I can't stress this enough.


Okay, let's assume quick that you and Zwiebel are t/t. Out of the "top players that did the sportsguy kill" or whatever you two by far have raised the most suspicion and look the worst,  but still neither of your lynches are guaranteed for the next day yet. So for our current great basically confirmed townies at this point (Dan, Zoran)  they're both very likely to be protected by the doctor,  lets say 50% chance on each since I don't see anyone else being protected. Now let's go back to you and Zwiebel,  both of you seeming very suspicious at this point but both town in our hypothetical scenario. There is a 0% chance either of you will be protected  by doctor and the kill makes the other one look even worse by being the only scummy "top player who does the sportsguy kill" So in this scenario where you're both town why does mafia not kill either of you?


Because maf have one strongman kill and it doesn't matter if Dan was going to be protected or not. I just can't see how not going for Dan would make sense for maf.


Why wouldn't maf save their strongman kill for after? This lynch seemingly free lynch is a one time opportunity.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1310 - 08/16/16 at 16:07:34
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/16/16 at 15:52:25:
I just think if kyle flips Maf it would imply TvK a lot more than a TvK Maf flip would imply kyle.

If so why would you lynch TvK? Shouldn’t you go in order?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1311 - 08/16/16 at 16:09:46
 
Zwiebel wrote on 08/16/16 at 16:02:18:
Zwiebel wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:27:47:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 14:25:22:
Page glitch pls

Also @Zoran I don't want the day to end early I guess,  but out of those 2 my vote is on Zwiebel.


Can you read my analysis (or anyone else's) and tell me why you would vote me over kyle? For me YS basically gave kyle away.


and please answer this tyg


It's because I want you or TvK to be the lynch today for sure since it gives the other one away if we're wrong and we take out the maf leader sooner.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1312 - 08/16/16 at 16:13:53
 
Actually idk, John has a really good post on why alak and kyle are t/m and I definitely think Alak is town. I think I might vote Kyle and wait on ypu and TvK till d4?
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1313 - 08/16/16 at 16:15:09
 
Lewis, since we're down to 2 primary wagons, can I get your thoughts on the following:

What are the implications of Kyle's flip? (if he flips town, who is more likely town, who is more likely scum)
same question for Timur's flip
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Fant0m wrote on 12/17/11 at 15:59:31:
You could also do it just because you enjoyed hopping for no reason.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1314 - 08/16/16 at 16:18:56
 
1st i would like to say what i think about John.

johnboy81918 wrote on 08/12/16 at 14:38:52:
Yoshistar™ wrote on 08/12/16 at 12:20:31:
Hey all, I'm back from hunting Pokémon... again Roll Eyes (I blame my parents Roll Eyes)

I'm now catching up and will try to stay as active as possible, right now I'm at page 14.


Yoshistar™ wrote on 08/12/16 at 12:43:16:
I'd have to reread them as I didn't had much time earlier today, so I'll get to this when I've reread them.


Yoshistar™ wrote on 08/12/16 at 14:00:28:
I also look forward to his posts, unless he already did (still catching up)


Yoshistar™ wrote on 08/12/16 at 14:34:07:
also need to reread them after I got some sleep.

4 of YS's 5 most recent posts. Seriously.


This post and some making fun of YS D2 + ended the vote on YS gives me a town lean on John. There was no need for maf to point out that on YS D1. Also had some disagreements with Tvk so i'm pretty sure they are not m/m.

As for the vote let me explain my logic. I know all of you think voting top maf suspect is best, i have a different view. Let me explain.

All evidence points to Tvk/Kyle, i agree with TYG on most of his posts, Kyle is nowhere to be found, Tvk game has been different and he did not explain some stuff well. All of that with the rest of points that were made on them...looks pretty easy and i hope it is.

However in case of Zwiebel vs Kyle i think Zwiebel is a better vote.  In case of Tvk vs Zwiebel i would have gone for Tvk, but Kyle vote is dangerous.

We have 4 scenarios with Kyle vs Zwiebel vote:

1. vote Kyle - flips maf - Everything is clear, we are going for Tvk next.

2. vote Kyle - flips town - Zwiebel is maf, but other then that nothing is clear. Everyone can be maf (except me and TYG i guess). This is a very very dangerous situation for town and i think if Kyle flips town, there is a big chance town will lose his game.

3. vote Zwiebel - flips town - Kyle and Tvk are next. Even if kyle flips town we still have 1 shot and that would be PAF if you ask me based on Tvk/John not being m/m.

4. Zwiebel flips maf - i honestly don't know who his partner would be, but we would have 1 more day then in case #2 to find him. Also it would clear Kyle as i believe Kyle and Zwiebel are not m/m (wrote about it earlier).

I don't think John is maf, but if he is, he is not mafia with Tvk. Combination with Zwiebel would be possible.

Because of all this i will stay on Zwiebel.

This is it from me today, going to bed. I think i'm top 2 choice for mafia tonight, so gl if i don't make it.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1315 - 08/16/16 at 16:30:13
 
Wow ok, I'm so sorry guys. I spent today driving down to school and setting up my new apartment, and it took waaaaaaay longer than it should have. And I still don't have wifi, so I'm a little pissed off about that. Anyways, I'll try and hurry up to catch up now, but I'm on mobile so don't expect any quick posts to come out (or for them to be of a decent quality)
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zvrk

ShadowOfMyles wrote on 02/14/15 at 07:54:58:
"Ah, the antelope of death. It's because I cheated in Super Mario 64. This will need to be addressed soon."


VAJ wrote on 06/12/15 at 02:36:30:
And provably lacey is hoardibg his dkjp 3 lap for you too  Smiley


☆ᓂ wrote on 05/17/16 at 16:27:26:
first of all, who's walter XP
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1316 - 08/16/16 at 16:31:59
 
@Zoran: And what if both Kyle and Timur are Town? Kyle flipping Town might not tell us much about the other 2 Mafia, but we can think about that on D4 and subsequent days. You say after Timur flips Town, we should go after Kyle… well if Kyle is Mafia why the hell not vote him now?

I don’t think what you’re saying makes sense.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1317 - 08/16/16 at 16:32:36
 
Zoran ninjad me. I agree with everything he just said. I guess it makes more sense to go Zwiebel here.
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1318 - 08/16/16 at 16:34:53
 
@alak if Zwiebel flips town tvk is maf
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1319 - 08/16/16 at 17:07:08
 
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 16:34:53:
@alak if Zwiebel flips town tvk is maf

That’s not what Zoran said, and regardless, why the fuck would you go for the Town instead of TvK Mafia then?
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1320 - 08/16/16 at 17:21:52
 
So I'm gonna address some of Zweibels points as best i can on mobile.

The SG connection you made: why on earth would I be dumb enough as maf to lynch someone I praised during the day? If anything, it would have made Racer and I (since we were the mains ones to mention him) look scummy. Racer even more so, since he addressed it with his very first post of D2. I would expect the mafia to hold onto this detail until later to use it for a mislynch, and lo-and-behold...

Next you bring up YS saying I'm "townie is for sure". First of all, why aren't people calling this TMIing? Second (and this goes for all the "YS slipped for Kyle" theories out there) why aren't people even discussing that this could be a coached play? It's not hard to execute, even for YS. But let's move on...

Next up is the "hasn't made any slips which looks bad for him" post. You are absolutely trying to make something out of nothing. The way I'm reading this is "he hasn't slipped his faction". That's it.

You mention something about me thinking ALAK was bussing YS to set up a mislynch the next day. From here you say ALAK is town, which now makes me 100% sure (when paired with one of his earlier D3 posts and the fact that I highly doubt he would bus 2 mafia members) you and ALAK are t/m.

The next 2 comments you make are your absolute worst. You're totally misconstruing my words. I was undecided on a YS vs TYG lynch, so I mention it and why I'm even considering TYG, before deciding that since my current theory is an ALAK/YS bus play, if vote YS (also puts on the pressure on him which I even mention later, but you conviently left out). But that's not as bad as the 2nd comment of the 2, where you literally just make something up because it sounds good for you. You say I couldn't care less which one gets lynched, uh no. I do care which one gets lynch, I'm fucking town I want to lynch the mafia. Or do you not understand how town works? At the time I said either ones a good lynch because they both looked scummy, but as time would pass, YS looked scummier and this kept my vote. Think either is a good lynch =/= I don't care. You twisting my words for you benefit is actually why you're getting my vote.

Zweibels post about me just screams "shit, he's not getting votes, guess I gotta put something out there to get the mislynch". And for that:
[vote]Zweibel[/vote]
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zvrk

ShadowOfMyles wrote on 02/14/15 at 07:54:58:
"Ah, the antelope of death. It's because I cheated in Super Mario 64. This will need to be addressed soon."


VAJ wrote on 06/12/15 at 02:36:30:
And provably lacey is hoardibg his dkjp 3 lap for you too  Smiley


☆ᓂ wrote on 05/17/16 at 16:27:26:
first of all, who's walter XP
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1321 - 08/16/16 at 17:23:37
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/16/16 at 17:07:08:
LewisRichards wrote on 08/16/16 at 16:34:53:
@alak if Zwiebel flips town tvk is maf

That’s not what Zoran said, and regardless, why the fuck would you go for the Town instead of TvK Mafia then?


Because maf TvK is only maf if Zwiebel is town
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1322 - 08/16/16 at 17:38:55
 
I see we're basically at 4-4. John, do you know who you'll vote?
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zvrk

ShadowOfMyles wrote on 02/14/15 at 07:54:58:
"Ah, the antelope of death. It's because I cheated in Super Mario 64. This will need to be addressed soon."


VAJ wrote on 06/12/15 at 02:36:30:
And provably lacey is hoardibg his dkjp 3 lap for you too  Smiley


☆ᓂ wrote on 05/17/16 at 16:27:26:
first of all, who's walter XP
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1323 - 08/16/16 at 17:39:19
 
^What you’re doing sounds extremely stupid to me but do whatever you want.

kyleb30 wrote on 08/16/16 at 17:21:52:
[vote]Zweibel[/vote]

Obvious vote is obvious.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

My YouTube

MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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ALAKTORN
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Re: Mafia: Day 3 - Town of Memes
Reply #1324 - 08/16/16 at 17:39:43
 
ALAKTORN wrote on 08/16/16 at 17:39:19:
^What you’re doing sounds extremely stupid to me but do whatever you want.

That was aimed at TYG.
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ALAKTORN wrote on 11/22/17 at 05:24:31:
OH YEAH WHY AM I NOT GLOATING MORE

I PINNED DOWN KF!TIMUR AFTER 10 FUCKING POSTS

LOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GET FUCKED

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MKDS: 31 GODs, 28 Myths, 5 Titans, Hold 9 NoPRB CRs, Hold 11 PRB CRs, Hold 2 NoMT WRs, Held 7 NoPRB WRs and 8 Beta WRs
MKW: Held 2 3lap WRs, many Flaps
MK7: Held a lot of WRs
MK8: Held some WRs
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