Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:Well first off Zoran, if I am your highest Mafia lean, then I don't understand why you're not voting or pushing for a wagon on me. As I said, I strongly believe we should lynch the highest probabke Mafia today, not something to get info. You say I am connected to YS, so why not lynch me over him? If I end up Mafia, you just lynch YS afterwards and get 2 Maf if you are correct. But you come out with your suspicions close before Eod. Where there's a low chance of actually something happening.
I already talked about this in my post #936.
You have your philosophy, i have mine. I don't think going full on your biggest maf lean is always the best play, i see this philosophy 1 dimensional. I accept the fact i might be wrong and being wrong on you is much, much worse for town then being wrong on YS. Let me explain:
If you flip town, i'm in danger since i'm 1 of 3 who went for you. Ys is still in the game and his nonsence posting continues to be big part of discussion.
If YS flipped town, everyone went for him which is better for me (and thus for town). We can focus on someone else...
In my mind that's a maf mindset to have, yeah you look bad if I flip Town, but if you're sure I'm maf it shouldn't matter? Even so, if you are Town and legit think I've been behaving scummy, then you should be able to defend yourself, even if I flip Town...so basically I understand, you wanted to lynch YS over me because it was better for you. Even though you thought I was more likely Maf than YS. And cause you think a mislynch on me would be far worse than YS(I agree on that part). Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:Secondly, I pressured Dan hard and I gave you a Town lean, however these 2 things didn't correlate. I gave you a Town lean based on your behaviour that day. I didn't "just flip" opinions on you. I pointed out earlier that day that you posted something along the lines of "you don't post much but get info"(I'm too lazy to look it up, and EoD is soon). I called you out on that, and asked how you want to gather info if you don't post much. I said that's scummy and you might be maf. However, you posted a lot and my lean changed a lot later, and not "just like that". Or quote me and show me where I flip so hard.
Your 1st post in the game #290 and this is your conclusion:
Tl;dr : Likely Scum: Dan, maybe scum: Zoran, probably Town: Racer
You had half a day to come up with something and this is what you went for. So after half a day of thinking i'm top 3 on your scum radar. Then you exchange a few posts with me where we pretty much disagree and suddenly i'm town? On top of that you follow your top 3 maf reads in your final vote. Ok lets say you see me as town, you went for Dan on D2 as well and hard on D1, but you follow the vote he stared. If that is not a turn around i don't know what is.
This is D1 we're talking about, you expect me to nail the whole team already? I thought you could be scum based on what I saw from you that far(which was not much), then I changed my lean based on what happened after it. Just because I disagree with you, doesn't mean I have to think you are Maf? I don't know what one thing has to do with the other. I don't base my leans just on people agreeing or not agreeing with me.
And the D1 vote, it's not like there was much of a chance of anyone else but Leone or TYG getting lynched in the end, so I had to choose one of them. I thought TYG was more scummy than Leone, so I voted him. I already explained why I think lynching the guy you think is Mafia the strongest is the right play in most cases. Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:Also, I didn't just "not care" about the TvK post, I just thought there weren't good arguments in it. If you want to get back to that and tell me what's been his main points you agree on, fair enough. But don't just say "I don't care". I made my rebuttal, if you don't agree with it then write why.
This might be the case, you may think his arguments weren't good, i think they were. What is interesting and is my main point here is next. From your posts after #804 TYG accusation, it looks to me that in your eyes TYG didn't have good arguments either, but he got a very different response. Or do you think TYG arguments are better so he got a better response?
Can you break TvK's post down and tell me what specifically you agree on? About #804, I told TYG that he missed my interactions with him, because his main point was that I did not interact with him at all. Which was just wrong. TvK had arguments, I just don't think they were strong, he just picked on minor things. As said before, you can break it down and ask me specific questions about it and I will answer them. Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:About me hiding behind Alaktorn, why would I do that? I thought he made fair points and added to that. You don't always have to come up stuff yourself, it is just as important to deal with information you get and think about the substance of it and either follow it or disband it. Making own points is great, following up on great points is just as good. I don't know what your problem with that is. I'm pretty sure I'm not the only one who agreed to the connections he posted.
Are you serious with this question? You can't imagine maf hiding behind someone else? Following the same person on probably the biggest issues of the day twice doesn't make you maf, but it is suspicious.
Well it's not like I can't imagine it, I just ask the question why I would do that in this game. I believe Alaktorn to be a strong player, and I think he's town this game, so it's natural I pick up on good points from him. I mean, he was also one of the first to make a big post about YS, and he turned out scum. I think it would be dangerous to hide behind him if I was Maf, cause there's a high chance that he will in the end be right about a lot of things, so by hiding behind him I would risk having to lynch Maf. Which would obviously be bad if I was Maf. I can't really tell you it's impossible, I just can show you why it's unlikely for me to do that.Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:But I'll give it to you, let's assume I am Mafia with YS. I just don't see how I would pressure him so hard and want him lynched? I could've just gone for TYG and gone onto that wagon, or set up an entirely different wagon on anyone, yet I would chose the easiest target, join on the wagon, and try to get him lynched hard?? Yea I could have tried to set up a mislynch chain with kyle/tvk, but why sacrifice a maf member for that? Also, if your theory is correct I assume you think kyle is town, so after we mislynch kyle the spotlight will be on me for sure, why would I risk all that?
YS was under heavy fire at this point. Everyone went on YS including maf. Tvk and Kyle did it as well. You can use the same argument for them. The fact if mafia went for YS as well. As for kyle lynch, you were against it, this was part of my point.
I was against the kyle lynch, because
1) I thought YS was far more likely to be Maf, and did not contribute anything to the discussion, so he was the best lynch in my eye
2) Alaktorn's point on which I agreed on about kyle was dependent on YS being Maf. If YS wasn't Maf, it would've just been a normal Town post and I would've felt less suspicious about kyle, however YS turned out Maf so we can focus on him today. It's just that a kyle lynch wouldn't have told us much about YS, while a YS lynch tells us a lot about kyle. So there was no question in my mind that YS lynch > kyle lynch. Even if both of them are Maf.
Zwiebel wrote on 08/14/16 at 18:28:34:If you want me to take your lean serious, then give me answers to these questions. I'd like to post more in depth, but I don't have much time left(because you posted so late..) so I'm gonna leave it at that
So 3 people write huge posts against you, and 2 of them you don't take serious? I don't like giving people too much advice about gameplay because it can be a bit arrogant, but dude, if someone attacks you in mafia game, you should take it seriously no matter what.
I just worded it poor, I'm taking it serious. I was just frustrated you came out with that post so late, so there was no room for discussion or anyone else to voice their opinion of it, on top of me not having a lot of time to answer to it as well. I think no matter if I'm the one getting the heat or anyone else, it just can just help us, because it promotes dicussion. Didn't mean it to sound arrogant. Bolded are my answers. I'll definitely be looking more into kyle today. I'll look back and try to find more points to strengthen my theory.