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Mafia Day 5: Squirrels are Game Over (Read 4807 times)
Darius
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #50 - 01/30/11 at 09:58:39
 
I'm just saying that if you expect people to use their powers in a useful manner, they need something to go on. If you're not planning to do anything, then no-lynch isn't so much of an issue. I've played a lot of mafia and my instinct is that lynch is always better than no-lynch on D1. The jesters do screw with things a bit, but I think we should play the game as though we're trying to beat the mafia, not trying to avoid the jesters. I'll look at the possible scenarios and think about how no lynch will play out, but my instincts are definitely against it.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #51 - 01/30/11 at 10:13:11
 
My real problem is, if we're being careful and no-lynching, where do you draw the line? If MVT's policy of doing nothing is followed, we might end up tomorrow with no further leads, and if we make it to tomorrow with 2 jesters still alive, are we no-lynching again? At what point are the no-lynchers happy to lynch in this game? With 1 jester dead? Only when both jesters are dead? Do people think all the vigs should shoot tonight? If not, do they all not shoot, or should only one or two of them shoot? Until people have answers to these questions, I'm not happy with a no lynch because we might end up in a position tomorrow where people say 'I'm not lynching, we might let the jesters win' and we end up just sitting here waiting for the scum to take people out.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #52 - 01/30/11 at 10:27:22
 
This game is just weird like that though, and really any wrong move could actually end the game, even on day 1.

Mafia is going to make a night-kill surely, and maybe they'll get blocked, or we get lucky and the kill a jester.

Vote: No Lynch

It could be risky, but it may be the best choice. A good jester will act good enough to not look like he's jester straight out and wants to get lynched, but bad enough that it looks like he's a mafia trying to hide that, and is trying to walk the line between sabotage and not wanting to die, so the reverse psychology kicks in because he wants to look like mafia and die.

I think no lynch will give us a better chance to win as town. I'd rather take some time to go slowly and give us more time to evaluate than lose on day 1 which is possible. I'm not here to play just to lose and go for second because a jester died, townies need to prevail above all.

I know that no lynching is different from my previous game theories, but this game is totally different.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #53 - 01/30/11 at 10:28:42
 
Votals
[2] No Lynch - MVT, Kmacc
[1] padz - Calibur
[1] Koopz - Darius
[1] MVT - padz
[1] KoopZ - Sportsguy
[1] Sportsguy - (Sword), KoopZ
[0] Scott - (KoopZ)
[0] Calibur - (MVT)

Day ends in 11.5 hours.

Reminder that everyone should carefully read the rules if they haven't done so already.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #54 - 01/30/11 at 10:29:54
 
I'm surprised at the amount of people against no lynch. Most of the opposition against it is either "we have to lynch someone otherwise it doesn't feel right" or "we have nothing to work off of tomorrow if we don't lynch"

Darius I really think you're overestimating the importance of Day 1. I wasn't expecting much when I woke up, and exactly that has happened. The day will be over in the next 20 hours or so and we still are debating over no lynch or lynch.

Lynching is a shot in the dark at this stage. You know it is. Mafia want a lynch, since if they don't get a lynch then they're already at a disadvantage. Jesters want a lynch aswell, since that's what they need to win. Town obviously need to lynch scum, but the odds are against us, and unless you have a really solid justified reason as to why we should take a risk on someone, then I don't think it's worth it.

The odds of being successful are slim. If we no lynch, and then everything backfires at night, there is still a chance.

Besides, if you want a lynch, then why not propose on who you would consider lynching? We haven't really covered shit today. We don't have anything to go off of. Unless you have a proposal?

I personally am unhappy with Koopz's posts so far. They're just really wishy washy. Don't sit well with me at all. Just really fluffy stuff. I know the vote on Tyler is because of the thing I stated in my post earlier, but I still think his posts are kinda poor right now.

People who are not in favour of no lynch:

Darius
Koopz
Padz
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #55 - 01/30/11 at 10:38:42
 
Padz strikes me as a vig.  He might be stupid enough to kill me tonight considering how he said he's willing to risk the entire game on me being maf.  Sorry dude but you got the wrong read this time.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #56 - 01/30/11 at 10:40:58
 
Mafia aren't at a disadvantage if we no lynch, that's the point. The lynch is town's best method of controlling the game, so by passing it up, the initiative passes to scum and they get to make the first move. Then we have to lynch one of them tomorrow without so much control over the lynch. Besides, all this discussion is still revealing, and the way people approach the issue is going to help us work out their alignment later on.

As for the subject of who to lynch, I'd have to agree on Koopz. His Tyler vote is an easy cop-out based on prior games and despite his complaints that nothing is happening, I don't feel like he's made much effort to get things going himself. My vote's already there though. I'd like Calibur and Scott to put their votes down, or at least declare if they're definitely going to back no-lynch or not.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #57 - 01/30/11 at 10:46:24
 
I also think Calibur needs to step us his game. Not really doing too much in the way of posting ... what is your stand on the no lynch / lynch situation?

Padz, your post is complete dildos. Risk the game on Day 1 with an MVT lynch? What the hell ... we should vote today because the odds of hitting Jester are slightly lower? I wouldn't actually agree. You're just basing it off of player ratio, not taking into account that Day 2 we will be able to read people better.

I think come tomorrow we'll have a better idea where everyone stands. Which would mean we have a better idea on who is more likely to be a Jester than not. And who is more likely to be scum or not.

Why the fuck are we basing the whole game around Jesters anyway? If you really don't want a Jester to be lynched then you'll no lynch in hopes that the vigs / mafia nail one tonight. Simple as.

Darius, in no way did anyone indicate that a No Lynch will be the way to go for Day 2. Infact since the fluff day will be over, and perhaps a few people will have died, we have way more to work with, and I can pretty much guarantee it'll be the opposite. Besides, you have no obligation to use your power Night 1 ... it will usually come down to luck, anyway.

I'm only really favouring the no lynch since Day 1 is mostly trash, not much has happened except -

MVT has roleclaimed
Sportsguy has threatened Koopz
Scott has been acting scummy
Koopz has been posting really bizarre shit

I don't think any of the above is enough to make a decision on a lynch. The day is done in just over 10 hours, so unless something drastic happens, I don't really feel comfortable risking the entire fate of the game on Day 1.

Vote: No Lynch
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #58 - 01/30/11 at 10:49:22
 
Oops, I meant that Koopz has been acting scummy, and Scott has been posting really bizarre shit. Got them mixed up, my bad.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #59 - 01/30/11 at 10:52:55
 
Old quote.

Calibur wrote on 01/29/11 at 11:55:21:
TellTale wrote on 01/29/11 at 11:05:49:
Calibur wrote on 01/29/11 at 09:17:10:
TellTale wrote on 01/29/11 at 06:58:13:
Calibur wrote on 01/28/11 at 22:57:30:
Vote: padz

Reason: cunt


Who is this?

I don't want people around who I don't recognize!

Vote Calibur


Oh silly MVT. How do you not remember me? Don't you remember the awesome times we shared on the #stardashers' IRC? I banned you on a daily basis; how could you forget our amazing relationship!

Anyway, I have to go pea now.


Regardless of anything you are the mafia n00b of this all star cast.  Is this your first game? Roll Eyes


>implying I don't know how the game works.

Yes, it's my first game, but that doesn't mean I don't know what I'm doing. I've been watching previous mafia games as early as the DK theme back in April of last year.

With that aside, tell me "n00b," why should we believe your roleclaim? And don't go off telling me "IT'S BEST FOR TOWN, YOU GUYS GOTTA TRUST ME!" Trusting people on Day 1, I lol'd.


That sentence should directly lead into a no lynch vote with the logic it uses.
If he doesn't vote no lynch after this statement he is suspicious as fuck.

Calibur where are you dude?
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #60 - 01/30/11 at 10:53:14
 
Mafia would definitely want a lynch on day 1. It's an easy way for them to get away with killing a townie, and then using an excuse such as "It was day 1, we had no leads, don't blame me."

The way this game is formatted, it's pretty much an advantage for mafia to get a lynch on day 1. As town, we are cautious to lynch because of the jester factor, so anyone that looks even semi-suspicious can be jester or mafia, so we aren't sure to go after them. So like Sword said, only mafia and jesters want a lynch on day 1.

Even if there is a lynch and it's a townie, you can't say even that gives up sufficient information for tomorrow, because day 1 is always a toss-up, it's not like we have the greatest leads (if any) when we make our decisions.

In my opinion, anyone who wants a lynch is either a jester who wants to get lynched, or a mafia looking for an easy kill, and planning to bounce blame off of themselves on day 2.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #61 - 01/30/11 at 10:55:20
 
Sword, my concern is that Day 2 will be people repeating how no lynch is still a good idea. I just don't want no lynch to be a viable argument for the rest of the game because it gives scum an easy ride by letting them know they can just push it instead of conducting some genuine scumhunting. I think the consensus of the town is starting to lean towards NL precisely because most people have been lazy and just saying 'yeah, it's a shot in the dark to lynch'. If we no lynch today, nobody should be allowed to get away with that argument tomorrow, but I bet some people are still going to try it if not much happens tonight.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #62 - 01/30/11 at 10:59:15
 
Darius wrote on 01/30/11 at 10:55:20:
Sword, my concern is that Day 2 will be people repeating how no lynch is still a good idea. I just don't want no lynch to be a viable argument for the rest of the game because it gives scum an easy ride by letting them know they can just push it instead of conducting some genuine scumhunting. I think the consensus of the town is starting to lean towards NL precisely because most people have been lazy and just saying 'yeah, it's a shot in the dark to lynch'. If we no lynch today, nobody should be allowed to get away with that argument tomorrow, but I bet some people are still going to try it if not much happens tonight.


It won't be an option for the rest of the game.  The only possibility I can think of where I would be in favor of a second no lynch would be near endgame if there are a couple vigs left and no mafia.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #63 - 01/30/11 at 11:00:01
 
my first couple of posts were just me having fun.  i was surprised to be included in the game like i said in my first post and that the game started already.

i wasnt lying about scott seeming really weird though.  usually from his posts i sense this kind of urgent sincerity to beat the mafia, but now it just seems like he's trying to be this grand MC and trying to be the leader of everything so he can direct us in whatever way he deems fit.  this is just how i'm seeing it though.

my vote to tyler is just a reference to past games and was made cuz thats usually how i start my mafia games, but my very first vote on scott was for real.  i just get a wrong vibe from him.  believe what you want about my first couple of posts.

unvote

Vote Scott
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #64 - 01/30/11 at 11:01:41
 
Kmacc: so do you think I'm mafia or jester?
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #65 - 01/30/11 at 11:05:45
 
Not gunna lie, Scott did rub me the wrong way as well.  I don't see his URGENCY like when he was town in the past.

Also if Darius doesn't end up voting no lynch he is sus.  Hell even if he does end up doing that it he is still sus simply because he is so against it.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #66 - 01/30/11 at 11:06:55
 
From a vig standpoint.  The best person to take out tonight would be Scott.  If one of the other vig is planning on making a kill, I would make that kill Scott.  It won't be me that ends up doing the killing though.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #67 - 01/30/11 at 11:07:53
 
@Koopz: If Scott was mafia, he would be making it pretty obvious by your standards. Scott has done some screwy things in the past, but I don't think he would oust himself so easily.

Maybe he wants that suspicion on him, because he's jester?

You have to understand that in this game, some people have the motive to want to get lynched. They want to look suspicious, but not overly suspicious to the point it could be obvious that they're jester.

If he were jester, you'd be buying into his plan perfectly.

Maybe he's just changing his playing style for fun, I don't know.

@Darius: We wouldn't be advocating a no lynch on day 2. Even if there's a no lynch today and virtually nothing happens during night 1, I think we have at least a few small leads to go by for day 2. Day 1 usually isn't very eventful, but as a group, there has been some disconnects and that will surely cause speculation.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

SMK: #159 (NTSC) MK64: #253 MKSC: #46 MKDD: #521 MKDS: #47 MKWii: #312 MK7: #451 MK8: #442 Combined: #38 (As of June 2020)

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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #68 - 01/30/11 at 11:10:40
 
@Darius: I'm not sure enough on anyone yet to make definite accusations. Anyone who wants a lynch today is suspicious in my opinion, but nobody has been making any jester-like actions (aside from possibly Scott?)

So to me, anyone who wants a lynch is suspicious and could be mafia. But for now, that's really my sole reason for believing so of you and any others who want a lynch, hence why I don't think lynching someone today would be the best idea. It's not quite enough evidence just yet in my opinion.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

SMK: #159 (NTSC) MK64: #253 MKSC: #46 MKDD: #521 MKDS: #47 MKWii: #312 MK7: #451 MK8: #442 Combined: #38 (As of June 2020)

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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #69 - 01/30/11 at 11:11:27
 
Not sure why but Scott rubbed me as a jester right away. Undecided
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #70 - 01/30/11 at 11:16:59
 
My 4 concerns in order from most suspicious to least suspicious.

Scott - I read him as Jester.  Seemed to try to exemplify fake kindness and fake towniness.  It's almost like he wanted us to think he was not town and make us think he was mafia in order to get lynched.
Darius - Seems like a bad guy.  Not sure which one but his extreme discust for no lynch bothers me.
Calibur - Seems mafiaish.  Not posting much and his few posts I did not like.
Padz - I read town vig.  However I thought he would be smart enough to not want to risk the whole game by lynching someone right now.  I don't understand his opposition to no lynch.  His ratio example was rubbish.  I wish he came out with a better explanation.  Also would like for him to explain why he thinks I'm scum more clearly, instead of "comedy".

Hope these turn out to be accurate. Smiley
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #71 - 01/30/11 at 11:29:40
 
A few people have read me so far as being extremely different than my previous play, mainly due to a "lack of urgency" to kill the mafia.  This game is quite different than any game we've played together.  Normally half the game's population are Vanillas who have no idea what's going on or how to play the game.  There will be 4 people out of 23 that post like 2 times on day 1, and a group of 5 or so who are mafia.  Here the numbers are different and the game is going to play out way differently.

With my first few posts I was just trying to calm the thread down so we could skip the whole "HAI LOOK IM TOWN LOOK AT ME" and other stupid things that happen at the start of the game.  Not trying to be controlling, more like an effort to keep anyone from doing anything outlandish.

Darius, I see you're asking for my firm stance.  I'm in the camp against lynching still, as I stated earlier.  I'd rather see 3 town and 1 mafia take shots in the dark (likely to be blocked) at who they think could be the jester rather than trying to come to a group consensus right now.  There really is never any way to know who is a mafia member on Day 1, especially when there are only 2 of them in a 9 person game.  There are no big voting trends to try to pick on, there is less ability of the mafia to overrule an otherwise majority vote, and this is a very dangerous game.  Call it a lack of urgency if you wish, but I'd rather take the 3x(1/2) chance for Town to do something productive and the 1x(1/3) chance for mafia to take out a jester at night than a total guess by day with a 2/9 chance of ending it all and a 7/9 chance of hurting town's night power greatly.

After Night 1 we will have to reassess remaining powers and it will likely be a better idea to lynch the 2nd time around, especially if a jester is killed but not a mafia.  Chances are good that a jester will get taken out Night 1 because RBs should be letting the carnage happen at this point.  Basically I see the best thing for town as all night shots going through cleanly and taking out hopefully a mafia and happily a jester.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #72 - 01/30/11 at 11:43:23
 
I'm not going to discourage or encourage anyone to take any specific night action tonight.  I personally will not be taking a night action.  However I am sure there are other vigs who have set their sites on someone or made up their minds at taking a shot in the dark tonight.  If I was forced to kill someone tonight I would have to choose between a few that I find suspicious, but luckily I will not be forced into making that choice.  Vigs do as you wish.  I'll let the night go without my influence (usually I try to direct people but in this case I think my silence will end up revealing even more).  Roleblockers please do roleblock someone.  There is no sense of not taking that action.  

I will be completely satisfied and content with the game no matter what happens at night as long as we get no lynch passed for this day.

Smiley
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #73 - 01/30/11 at 11:45:54
 
I still would like to hear from Calibur and padz before the day ends though!

Edit - Also would like Darius to vote No Lynch.  Especially after we explained to him why and promised to not use it as a crutch in the future.  He had no objections with the reasoning and I don't see why he won't just vote no lynch at this point.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #74 - 01/30/11 at 11:50:36
 
Are you saying you honestly don't know why or are you saying you have no idea why a town player wouldn't?

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