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Mafia Day 5: Squirrels are Game Over (Read 4807 times)
KoopZ
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #150 - 01/31/11 at 21:18:51
 
Calibur wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:08:22:
no clue, it's just a gut feeling that's backed up by some of the posts you have made.


pretty sure the only post where i even mentioned lynching me was the one i referenced once already when i was in second place.  what other posts make you reach this conclusion?  (i'm going to try and defend myself if i can... its hard to defend against a gut feeling)
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #151 - 01/31/11 at 21:19:35
 
@Calibur: If I were really mafia, being silent and staying put would be such a huge risk for me. Even if it's assumed that I could also be jester and people hold a lynch off of me, I'll definitely be a night target for the two vigs.

If I was "the target", both vigs would probably shoot at me and surely one would go through if the plan was to kill me off, and I'd lose.

That being said, it would be terrible to assume I'd be a mafia laying low.

But I'm here now for a bit anyway, not laying low, so you don't even need to worry about that scenario.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #152 - 01/31/11 at 21:20:36
 
kmacc, the only reason i called you out is cuz your posts seem (for lack of a better word) so normal.  i had to go back thru the rest of the topic to see when and where you posted, cuz i couldnt recall them at all.  i'm now no more suspicious of you than i am of anybody else....
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #153 - 01/31/11 at 21:26:01
 
Calibur wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:03:26:
the theories I listed were the first ones that came to mind, so tell me what you think of them.


Basically word for word the exact answer I would have given and expected.  Do you agree with me if I say that the overall result analysis is that he's likely not a Town member?

Koopz: You may as well just give up now.  You'll be targeted by at least 1 of the shooters tonight, since it's in everyone's best interest to get you out of the way.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #154 - 01/31/11 at 21:32:12
 
IsThatAGoodTime wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:26:01:
Calibur wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:03:26:
the theories I listed were the first ones that came to mind, so tell me what you think of them.


Basically word for word the exact answer I would have given and expected.  Do you agree with me if I say that the overall result analysis is that he's likely not a Town member?

Koopz: You may as well just give up now.  You'll be targeted by at least 1 of the shooters tonight, since it's in everyone's best interest to get you out of the way.


it is not in everyone's best interest to get rid of me cuz i'm town.  pretty sure i was role blocked last night anyway, otherwise you wouldnt be here talking right now.
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Re: Mafia Day 1: Squirrels are Stupid
Reply #155 - 01/31/11 at 21:37:22
 
KoopZ wrote on 01/30/11 at 08:41:06:
WHY is everyone being so quiet this game?  scott, where are you with your posts?  i still get a weird vibe about you this game...

i would just like to go ahead and add my thoughts about a no lynch being a bad idea.  i definitely think someone needs to be lynched, thats the only way we're going to start being able to figure out who's who.

my vote on tyler still stands.


encouraging a lynch.

KoopZ wrote on 01/30/11 at 11:00:01:
my first couple of posts were just me having fun.  i was surprised to be included in the game like i said in my first post and that the game started already.

i wasnt lying about scott seeming really weird though.  usually from his posts i sense this kind of urgent sincerity to beat the mafia, but now it just seems like he's trying to be this grand MC and trying to be the leader of everything so he can direct us in whatever way he deems fit.  this is just how i'm seeing it though.

my vote to tyler is just a reference to past games and was made cuz thats usually how i start my mafia games, but my very first vote on scott was for real.  i just get a wrong vibe from him.  believe what you want about my first couple of posts.

unvote

Vote Scott


pushing for a lynch.

KoopZ wrote on 01/30/11 at 14:11:02:
sword and scott teaming up....  i'm keeping my vote on scott, and i still think a lynch should happen.  regardless of how different this game is, lynching on the first day, no matter what, seems to me to be the best way to learn what to do for the rest of the game.  yeah we would be taking a chance, but i think its a necessary one.


still pushing for a lynch even though we can (and we did) learn some things over night. a lynch wasn't necessary day 1.

KoopZ wrote on 01/30/11 at 19:22:01:
and calibur, to prove i'm not jester......

unvote

vote No Lynch


day over.


didn't prove anything here. you went against everything you were pushing for that day by voting no lynch. perhaps you wanted to be suspicious here by going "we must lynch!" to "no lynch?" this leads to...

KoopZ wrote on 01/31/11 at 20:16:30:
i dont think a jester would be playing for just any lynch.  dont you think a jester would be trying to blend in more, but still be making his voice heard, and maybe just a tad suspicious?  i truly believe a lynch would have been a better way to making more informed decisions today as opposed to no lynch.

@ Calibur - i only mentioned my potential lynch cuz i was second in the votes to a no lynch.  other than that, i just wanted to see any lynch happen.


yeah, I suppose you're right. you can say you were blending in, made your voice heard, and are acting a tad suspicious.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #156 - 01/31/11 at 21:38:51
 
KoopZ wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:32:12:
pretty sure i was role blocked last night anyway, otherwise you wouldnt be here talking right now.


Hmm, second person to claim Town Vigilante so far.  First one was truthful.  I believed it from the start.  This one? Gonna be a tough case.

Or is that one of those "I'm not actually lying because I'm mafia and really was roleblocked, lol joke's on you!" posts?
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #157 - 01/31/11 at 21:42:59
 
IsThatAGoodTime wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:26:01:
Calibur wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:03:26:
the theories I listed were the first ones that came to mind, so tell me what you think of them.


Basically word for word the exact answer I would have given and expected.  Do you agree with me if I say that the overall result analysis is that he's likely not a Town member?

Koopz: You may as well just give up now.  You'll be targeted by at least 1 of the shooters tonight, since it's in everyone's best interest to get you out of the way.


50/50 he is town. 3 townie left, 2 jesters + 1 maf.

KoopZ wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:32:12:
it is not in everyone's best interest to get rid of me cuz i'm town.  pretty sure i was role blocked last night anyway, otherwise you wouldnt be here talking right now.


what do you mean by "pretty sure?" if you are implying you are vig, you either sent in a kill or you didn't. if you did, then scott would be dead, unless you were roleblocked. there should be no doubt; there are no bulletproofs this game.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #158 - 01/31/11 at 21:44:41
 
@Koopz: Fair enough. My idea for day one was that the split between lynch and no lynch was kind of he deciding factor on which direction to take for day two, as opposed to normal games where you kill somebody and go from there. It seemed fitting for a game like this where one wrong move and it's over. That's why my posts probably seem very straightforward to the point I wanted, and not trying to cut any corners. I do still believe that no lynch was our best option for day one, even though the night kill doesn't look the greatest.

Now that day two is here, I'm all for a lynch as long as we can pinpoint somebody. I don't want to no lynch today, but it would be better than lynching with no lead I guess. But I feel we can hammer something out here.

Just wondering (I'm not saying we SHOULD do this, but I want some opinions on the possibility of it being helpful), would it be beneficial to have more role claims? I know it's only day two, but from a quantitative perspective, there's only six of us left. In other games with six people left, usually at least a one or two have their roles known for certain. I'm trying to assess if it would be harmful to do, because if it's not, it can help narrow down a lot of stuff.

There wouldn't be much budge for lying about your role, and it could put the mafia/jesters in an awkward position with few roles to claim.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #159 - 01/31/11 at 21:52:09
 
i dont see how i've been blending in, i've been extremely vocal compared to past games i've played in.  i can see where i've been suspicious though, and i've done my best to explain myself, both on pushing for a lynch and my decision at the end of the day to go no lynch.

we've only learned from day 1 based on the night kills, not from anything else.  unless you're seeing something i'm not.

yes, i pushed for a lynch from the get go.  even in a game like this, i felt that a day 1 lynch would be most helpful to the town.  yes, a chance is involved in lynching a jester, but when we have so little to go on, i felt it would be the best bet to get something concrete in our heads.  obviously this was the wrong move as i've just brought a target on my head.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #160 - 01/31/11 at 21:54:06
 
Calibur wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:42:59:
KoopZ wrote on 01/31/11 at 21:32:12:
it is not in everyone's best interest to get rid of me cuz i'm town.  pretty sure i was role blocked last night anyway, otherwise you wouldnt be here talking right now.


what do you mean by "pretty sure?" if you are implying you are vig, you either sent in a kill or you didn't. if you did, then scott would be dead, unless you were roleblocked. there should be no doubt; there are no bulletproofs this game.


poor choice of words on my part.  i was role blocked last night.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #161 - 01/31/11 at 22:06:18
 
So Koopz, you're claiming town vigilante then?

Anyway, I'm going to bed. I hope to wake up with at least one person's opinion of what I said in my previous post. Right now, I see it could be beneficial for the town.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #162 - 02/01/11 at 08:04:10
 
Kmacc wrote on 01/31/11 at 22:06:18:
I hope to wake up with at least one person's opinion of what I said in my previous post. Right now, I see it could be beneficial for the town.


Well, figured someone else would step up, but apparently no one else around here actually answers questions.  I'm still standing behind this earlier explanation, Kmacc.

IsThatAGoodTime wrote on 01/31/11 at 20:05:29:
Koopz, think about it.  I have 5 people to vote for.  Two will end the game for us right now, two will hurt our chances badly, and 1 will win the game.  Why take that risk?  If two shooters can take their best guesses at night they have a 3/5 chance EACH to help us tremendously.


At this point, piling votes on someone doesn't seem like a great idea at all.  They're not going to act any different whether they're a mafia or a jester.  When either one gets to 3 votes they'll try everything in their power to get out of it, with the mafia's play being genuine and the jester's play a ploy to convince everyone that he is the mafia remaining.  Getting 4 votes on one person will be hard! Since he can't vote for himself there are only 5 people to land those 4 votes.  The jesters will be hesitant to vote (for that same guy, they will probably start attacking someone else) because they know the guy could be a jester and voting would lose the game for them as well.

I'm fairly confident who one of my teammates is and somewhat confident on the other at this point.  The other three of you are in trouble!

Vote: No Lynch
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #163 - 02/01/11 at 14:36:37
 
I'm a bit disappointed that nobody really has had anything to say about the idea.

People could have been busy throughout today, but judging by the fact that we can all see some of these people are online, I'd hope for an answer, even if it's not long and elaborate.

I still hold the floor open to any opinions at this point.

@Scott: Even if you are just being cautious today, do you believe having people role claim would be beneficial for town?

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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #164 - 02/01/11 at 14:48:00
 
Depends how stupid the 3 non-townies claims are.  We'll end up with 1RB/5Vig, 2RB/4Vig, 3RB/3Vig, or 4RB/2Vig claims.  If we force RBs to list who they blocked the previous night less people will claim them and real vigs will know if one messes up.  If we get 5 Vig claims and only 1 RB then we've got 1 cleared person and the real vigs have a 3/4 chance at hitting overnight.

It seems to make the situation trickier for the non-townies, overall.

I would only support this move if everyone agreed beforehand to claim.  No one can just be mute if we do this.

So far we have 1 person claimed as vig, Koopz.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #165 - 02/01/11 at 14:48:07
 
kmacc more like cant play w/o mass claim
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #166 - 02/01/11 at 14:54:02
 
padz more like needledick more like i'm afraid to support the role claim move cause i'm obvious mafia/jester
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #167 - 02/01/11 at 15:00:42
 
@Scott: It may be hard getting everyone to go along with this plan. Unless I'm missing something very obvious here, it would be extremely obvious that someone is mafia/jester if they don't want to do it.

The most it could do it have people claim the same roles, and ones they don't have. Even if it got to the point where the role claiming got us nowhere due to mix-ups and contradictions, it would:

a) Still only leave us in the same place.
b) The town roleblocker would at least know the liars if anybody else claimed that role.

At worst, mafia roleblocker would know who vigs are and block one, but the other shot could go through if we knew the mafia member and made the nightkill on them.

Also, if this did happen, surely more people would claim vig anyway, so the mafia member wouldn't even know who to properly roleblock.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #168 - 02/01/11 at 15:03:34
 
Who cares if the Town RB knows who the fake one is, the Vigs are the ones that need to know.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #169 - 02/01/11 at 15:08:53
 
Well the actual town roleblocker would have to call the fake out then anyway.

Even if that advantage doesn't happen, it still wouldn't hurt the town in my opinion.

Also, the real roleblocker will obviously know the fake(s) is lying. They can roleblock that person at night in case they are mafia.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #170 - 02/01/11 at 15:59:33
 
Kmacc wrote on 02/01/11 at 15:08:53:
Well the actual town roleblocker would have to call the fake out then anyway.

honko did u not factor this into the setup???? the game has been blown wide open!!
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #171 - 02/01/11 at 16:01:46
 
Hmmmm


There was 3 kills last night.

2 possibilities: 3 vig kills or 2 vig kills and mafia kill

Now assuming MVT was telling the truth that he wasn't going to use his kill which i believe since he roleclaimed he was a vig and that came back true.  Then there was 2 vig kills and a mafia kill.  Well Koopz is claiming that he was roleblocked so its highly unlikely that he is a vig.  

He could be the town roleblocker, but i think Scott is that role.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #172 - 02/01/11 at 16:19:18
 
Regarding the "three possibilities" you mentioned, Sportsguy, were you as surprised as me to see MVT dead?  I figured no town player would go after him, and the only reason I can see the mafia doing it is if they thought he was Jester or something.  Mafia likely would have wanted to go for a jester over any town role at that point? Not sure and this is awkward to think about.

Whoever killed Darius must have thought he was pulling a KoopZ and Jestering it up.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #173 - 02/01/11 at 16:25:54
 
I guess the mafia always wants to take out any cleared player so it's either taking out a cleared player OR taking out a Jester, so probably was their best choice.
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Re: Mafia Day 2: Squirrels are Ugly
Reply #174 - 02/01/11 at 17:01:26
 
@Sportsguy: I thought about that same scenario, but of course we can't completely prove it because MVT can't confirm he didn't make a kill. We can only make the assumption that he didn't make a kill based on what he said on day one.

So with that logic, Koopz wouldn't be a vig, or he would be lying about having been blocked. I'm more inclined to agree with the first part, but maybe he has something to say about that.

Padz is mafia or jester. If he's town then he's pointless and shouldn't even play in these games, and is going to make us lose.

If you assume those two are mafia/jester, who would be the last one? Personally, I'm not too sure yet.
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Pulsar wrote on 03/01/07 at 21:39:23:
Spazzup u cunt...you were gonna hoard this strat...needledick!

SMK: #159 (NTSC) MK64: #253 MKSC: #46 MKDD: #521 MKDS: #47 MKWii: #312 MK7: #451 MK8: #442 Combined: #38 (As of June 2020)

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