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Mario Kart >> Mario Kart Wii >> Predictions for January 1st, 2023
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Message started by ArthurOww on 01/02/22 at 03:33:01

Title: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by ArthurOww on 01/02/22 at 03:33:01

As mentioned in the News Update, here's the official predictions thread of the year.

So, what do you think will be in our 2022? Here's 5 questions to try and predict the future!

- A New Player setting a WR?
- A current World Record that will still stand?
- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?
- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?
- How many WRs will we get this year?

Take your guesses, Ladies and Gentlemen, Karters and Kartesses.



Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Arvo57 on 01/02/22 at 04:22:05

- A New Player setting a WR? - Steve (American Steve ofc, Greek steve will not ever get a WR)

- A current World Record that will still stand? - CM glitch

- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat? - rPB 3/3 and sub 1 (And a vid of the run with Lucky Soul - Lips Are Unhappy as BGM)

- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who? - Justin might be #1 a little bit here and there by I'm gonna say Logan will still be champ Jan 1 2023

- How many WRs will we get this year? - 80-90

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by ArthurOww on 01/02/22 at 04:48:13

New Player: I want to see Jack get a 3lap WR
WR still standing: rSL No-Glitch
New Strat: rMC glitch being pulled off
Logan dethroned: I don't think so and he might even take #1 in No-Glitch by the end of the year
How many WRs: 92.

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Greg_780 on 01/02/22 at 08:55:17

New Player: Ray
WR still standing: rMR
New Strat: Demon getting a shroomless turnskip in a MT no-glitch world record
Logan dethroned: No
How many WRs: 75

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by InnovΔ on 01/02/22 at 09:17:10

- A New Player setting a WR?: IDFK
- A current World Record that will still stand?: GCN Mario Circuit (please actually happen this time)
- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?: MT shroomless turnskip
- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?: Let's see if Justin can get it back
- How many WRs will we get this year?: Not as much as last year

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Hydr8ion on 01/02/22 at 11:28:47

- A New Player setting a WR?
Me (jk, Bickbork or steev)
- A current World Record that will still stand?
Logan's rDKM nosc
- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?
I feel like rDH has a more viable ultra shortcut in it.
- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?
I think Logan and Justin will switch hands a bit early into the year, with Logan taking over for the rest of the year.
- How many WRs will we get this year?
092

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Neptune on 01/02/22 at 12:43:12

A New Player setting a WR?: Ray or Steve.
A current World Record that will still stand?: rBC Glitch
If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?: rWS 2/3
Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?: No.
How many WRs will we get this year?: 103

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Sam F on 01/03/22 at 04:24:53

A New Player setting a WR? - Ray
- A current World Record that will still stand? - rBC glitch
- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat? I'd say rWS 2/3, don't think anyone will seriously go for rMC for a while
- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who? Justin will get it back once more I reckon
- How many WRs will we get this year? 77

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Ragemodepigeon on 01/03/22 at 15:44:07

New Player: Emil. I fully believe this is the year Emil will get a wr and stop being meme'd on for it lol.
WR still standing: MC no-glitch and WGM no glitch.
New Strat: Something on BCWII
Logan dethroned: I think Justin will be site champion by the end of the year.
How many WRs: 97.

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by dormant on 01/09/22 at 09:56:23

new player: steev
current record still standing: rBC glitch
new strat: rDH respawn
Logan dethroned: no
WR count: 68

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Nate Schultz on 01/13/22 at 09:15:21

First WR: 2ndmatt (Bickbork) on GCN Mario Circuit
Record still standing: rDH no-sc
Strategy: rWS 2/3
Dethroned: No
WR count: 87

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by alexfriedman15 on 01/13/22 at 09:21:56

New player: Bickbork on rmc, pretty obvious
Record still standing: rmr
New strat. mmm spear
Dethroned: no
wrs: 92

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by ßęn2Łęgįt on 01/17/22 at 00:56:16

- A New Player setting a WR?
American Steve finally does it on GV2
- A current World Record that will still stand?
rSL no glitch

- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?
Not necessarily any new strats but i do predict
CM ng lap 3 low trick
WGM ng 2/3 new turnskip
DC 3/3 full dive
KC detach 2/3
rDS 3/3 dock
rDH sc 2/3 land without losing speed
rBC3 2/3 shroomless no stop
rMC sc 2/3
rDKM no glitch 2/3 MT cut


- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?
Logan and Justin will go back and forth throughout the year but I believe logan will still finish 2022 on top.

Total WRs: 107

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Colin724 on 01/17/22 at 13:52:30

- A new player setting a wr? Ray
- A current World Record that will still stand? Bowser's Castle Shortcut because there isn't really any activty going on for that category
- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat? what about a normal Colin Cut on a DK Summit wr
- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who? Zeke
- How many wr's will we get this year? 75 new wr's

Title: Re: Predictions for January 1st, 2023
Post by Darren on 01/19/22 at 13:13:17

Gonna start by reviewing my predictions from last year


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-Kasey will get his first WR, probably on MC NG

He sure got awfully close, but the fact that Caleb got that insane 1:20.3 run was just unfair. 0 for 1 so far.


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-King Alex rPG record will stand throughout 2021

Indeed it did. 2022 is Carter's year though. 1 for 2 now.


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-rDH fast glitch will start to be implemented, bringing the track to a low 1:30 or even a 1:29

I got the first half of this correct, but unfortunately only one record was set here, and it was a high 1:30 at that. 1 for 3.


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-Justin will likely not be dethroned, but if someone does do it it's Logan

I'll give this one to me, as Logan did indeed dethrone Justin and currently stands at #1. His standing at #1 is pretty much at the mercy of Justin though, with how good he is he could probably take it back within a week if he really wanted to. Both tremendously talented players nonetheless. 2 for 4.


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-This is a bit of a wild one, but DDR will have the most records. Perhaps someone or multiple people will finally push the track towards a 1:46 and maybe even a bit deeper.

While DDR did get pushed to a 1:46 (about time), it did not have the most records. I believe this title went to MT glitch with the implementation of the floor ejection strat, but I'm too lazy to look that one up so I could be wrong. 2 for 5.


445744617272656E000 wrote:
-RR glitch is made humanly for the first time, which is probably not a very original response but oh well

This one was pretty hard to miss, especially considering that it was made merely 13 days into 2021. Nonetheless, a legendary moment in Mario Kart Wii, and even speedrunning in general.

Overall, I would say that I was 3 for 6 in my predictions. Not bad, but I hope to do better this year. With that all out of the way, here are my predictions for January 1st, 2023:

- A New Player setting a WR?

A few players come to mind here. We've got track specialists like Carter on rPG, Ryan on TF no-sc, and Ixy on WGM no-sc, and some overall just really talented players who have never set a record such as Alperen, Steve (you decide which one), ZCubed, and Emil. I think that out of all of these players, I would bet the most on American Steve. He's already awfully close on rGV2, all he needs to do is play enough and eventually he'll break free. However, I'd definitely like to see records from Ixy and Carter as well. I have a special place in my heart for track specialists.

-A current World Record that will still stand?

Honestly, I don't think any record is completely safe to last throughout 2022. Many of the current longest standing records are already extremely close to being broken, with rSGB, LC, and WGM no-sc being good examples. However, one record that I really don't see being beaten this year, or for a long time in general, is rBC glitch. Call it a cop out, but not only is that glitch insanely hard to pull off (I believe Logan spent almost a month on it), but the run is surprisingly well driven for a first time glitch run. Even if someone were to sit down and grind until they make that glitch, they have a good chance of not even setting a world record. The 2:20.584 is a truly special record that gets hardly any praise anymore. I think that's something that ought to change.

- If any, a track that will get blown open by a new strat?

This one is probably the hardest to predict, but I can see 2/3 shroomless cut happening on rBC3 sc. I'm not sure if this entirely counts as a new strat, since it's just doing a current strat but more, but that's what I'm going with. I think that with this implementation, we could see the track go into the mid or even low 1:56 range.

- Will the current Site Champion (Logan) be dethroned? If so, by who?

I can see Logan and Justin having a nice back-and-forth, but at the moment no one is really even close to their caliber, so I will keep it brief and say no to this question. I'd love to be proven wrong, though.

- How many WRs will we get this year?

I think that WR activity will continue along the path that it has currently been heading, with an amount somewhere between 95 and 110. If I have to give an exact number, then I'll say 98 because that's a cool reference.

Here is a list of some other things I think will happen this year. Some are realistic, and others are pure hype, but I'd love to see all of these being done:

-rWS 2/3 glitch, likely by Hunter cause who else would
-sub 45:00 total WR time
-Logan continues his monthly WR streak well into 2022, and will also pass Luke in total WR's set
-Kasey achieves records on rSGB, LC, and MC no-sc
-Blake gets the fabled 1:44 on DKSC, and will begin MMM WR attempts later in the year
-The current CM sc, rSL no-sc, rMC3, and DC records all reach 1,000 days
-rMC respawn glitch is made and implemented in a WR run, becoming the 20th RTA glitch category

I'll add more to this list if I can think of anything, but for now, here's to another great year for this game, which somehow continues to thrive approaching its 14th birthday.

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