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Message started by Lafungo on 01/01/15 at 11:48:08

Title: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Lafungo on 01/01/15 at 11:48:08

Early last year, Andy decided to make a prediction as to how the Top 10 would look at the end of the year. A couple other people in the Skype chat followed suit. Here are their predictions:

Andy:
1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Nosey
6. Stacy
7. Mick
8. Pierre
9. Ben
10. Flo

Stacy:
1. Andy
2. Seb
3. Chris
4. Stacy
5. Mick
6. Pierre
7. Lafungo
8. Nosey
9. Alan
10. Flo

Nosey:
1. Andy
2. Seb
3. Chris
4. Nosey
5. Lafungo
6. Stacy
7. Mick
8. Pierre
9. Alan
10. Ben

The actual Top 10 at the end of 2014 was this:
1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Mick
5. Stacy
6. Pierre
7. (tie) Ben
7. (tie) Lafungo
9. Flo
10. (tie) Etch
10. (tie) Nosey

So, what are your predictions for 2015? Feel free to extend them past the Top 10 if you want.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Lafungo on 01/01/15 at 12:36:31

Here's my own prediction for 2015:

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Mick
6. Stacy
7. Nosey
8. Pierre
9. Etch
10. Dan

I think the Top 3 is pretty much fixed. Andy will stay active and has too much of a lead for Chris to do anything. Chris will improve his AF and will be in no man's land as Seb falls behind in his inactivity. I don't think anyone will be able to close the gap to Seb this year. I think I can make it to #4, especially since Mick, Stacy, and Pierre are barely active (if at all). Mick will stay ahead of Stacy without playing much, even though Stacy could pass him easily if Mick doesn't play, because Stacy will be distracted by his Combined ranking goals and will play other Mario Karts instead. Nosey will play for the first 4 months of the year and then forget what a ZZMT is. Etch will play just enough Non-SC to stay in the Top 10, but won't make the effort to bridge the gap to Pierre. Dan will play more, manage to get in the Top 10, and relapse into inactivity.

Actually, I think the last 2-3 spots in the Top 10 are up for grabs, because Flo and Alan definitely have a shot at them, assuming they play (ZZMT). If people bother to play (more) this year, there should be some really interesting movement in the Top 10.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Chris on 01/01/15 at 14:11:27

I am proud that Andy was the only one who thought I will end as #2 by the end of the year. Son, I am proud :')

ALso, my own predictions for 2015:

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Mick
7. Michael
8. Robert
9. Pierre
10. Dan

As Lafungo said, TOP3 won't change much, except Seb makes a super suprise return, which will deeeefinitely not happen. #4 will be Lafungo, he shows the all time activity, even though he should better write some news instead ::)
I put Stacy at #5 because those are normally easy to gain combined points, and I expect him to do better here, he has the talent!
#6 is Mick, as Lafungo said aswell, Mick is too inactive to have a big impact in the top spots, even though his YD was a really great WR last year!
I think Mike on #7 is a good bet, he can make it if he puts some effort into it.
Robert will probably get enough non-sc PRs to pass this 1 AF point gap, even though his mainbusiness is SC [smiley=engel017.gif]
and Dan will probably pop into the TOP10, he just needs some advice from a fellow german karter ::)!

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/01/15 at 22:08:38

My expectations of you and Nosey were far too high it seems...  [smiley=lolk.gif]

Good topic. Here's my preds:

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Mick
7. Nosey
8. Etch
9. Pierre
10. Ben

Prove me wrong, Dan.   [smiley=smokin.gif]

Edit: I just just realized my list only differs from Chris by 1 - I didn't read anyone's lists carefully before posting this, I promise.  [smiley=lolk.gif]

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Phantomganon on 01/02/15 at 06:22:15

I hope I can Andy  [smiley=turtle.gif]

my prediction

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Funga
5. Stacy
6. Mickael
7. Nosey
8. Pierre
9. Etch
10. Dan  8-)


Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by .Hahaae on 01/02/15 at 06:31:00

1. Andy
__________ S+
2. Chris
3. Ethan
4. Seb
__________ S
5. Stacy
6. Mick
__________ A+
7. Toole
8. Hutch
9. Pierre
__________A
10. Ben
__________B

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/02/15 at 07:45:15

Took a couple screenshots of this year's Top 100 and dumping them here so we can reference them somewhere easily for next year - a bit more zoomed out for 41-100, but that's because they're, well, outside the Top 40.  [smiley=engel017.gif]

1-40 (http://i.imgur.com/ugCCbs5.png)
41-100 (http://prntscr.com/5nlym0)

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mr.Nosey on 01/02/15 at 09:50:57

Lol, was so sure of mine and Lafungo's rise! :P How wrong I was.

Prediction:

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Nosey
7. Mick
8. Ben
9. Dan
10. Etch

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by MK医師リオンカスタル on 01/05/15 at 23:08:14

Eh why not.  :P

1. CROCODILE CHESTER LUNDEEN





2. Chris
3. Sebrekt
4. Ethan
5. fugga
6. Stacy
7. Nosey
8. Etch
9. Mick
10. Dan

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Sarger001 on 01/05/15 at 23:55:54

This is the PP I'm invading next.

Obviously I'm going to be 1.

In spirit.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/07/15 at 07:07:10

Don't be silly Leone - Ethan's not going to join the PP with an AF higher than Seb's. :P

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by TvK on 01/07/15 at 07:25:25

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Mick
7. Dan
8. Nosey
9. Flo
10. Pierre

40. TvK
41. Timur "Zwiebel aka the worst updater in the history of the site" Ahmad

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Zwiebel on 01/07/15 at 10:14:59


0E13580 wrote:
1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Mick
7. Dan
8. Nosey
9. Flo
10. Pierre

40. TvK
41. Timur "Zwiebel aka the worst updater in the history of the site" Ahmad


u wish :-*

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mario86 on 01/12/15 at 14:08:19

I hope things will help me to appear from nowhere and make all your predictions come false.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Chris on 01/12/15 at 20:14:23

Inb4 Mario new world champ

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mario86 on 01/13/15 at 02:48:12

Haha, totally impossible, I don't think I have the skills when it comes to mushroom strats, and it would require a level of implication I don't want to reach again.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Firewaster on 01/13/15 at 12:24:56

I don't see my name anywhere...  ;)

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/13/15 at 12:43:00

The more my predictions are off because of people coming back to the game, the better. ;D

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Lafungo on 01/13/15 at 13:35:31


020D071A090F160D0706060D630 wrote:
The more my predictions are off because of people coming back to the game, the better. ;D

This may or may not be the main reason I made this thread.  [smiley=ninja.gif]

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Chris on 10/24/15 at 15:22:31

Well, the end of the year comes closer. So far none of us is right about the top10 prediction mainly because of Etch ::)

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Etch on 10/26/15 at 13:06:14

It wouldn't have been fair to tell you guys I had no plans going hard there!
Probably spent most time on coins and gp's this year... [smiley=lolk.gif]

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mr.Nosey on 10/26/15 at 14:55:25

Haha, and me too! Consistently predicted 7th/8th, but look where I am :P :P

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/01/16 at 11:38:43

Well, it looks like some people's predictions were way off! (Mine were for sure...)

End of 2015 Rankings

http://i.imgur.com/T1ifX13.png
http://i.imgur.com/hynVC83.png


It's time to predict what the rankings will look like by the end of 2016. Post your top 10 (or more) predictions, and hopefully we'll see a lot of people be wrong again due to unexpected activity! (or unexpected inactivity I guess....  :-X)

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Chris on 01/01/16 at 12:06:38

Predictions:

1.: Andy (this won't change)
2.: Chris (because reasons)
3.: Seb
4.: Stacy (Stacy will easily pass Mick, but will play other MKs before he gets to Seb)
5.: Lafungo: (will pass Mick, I guess he's too busy playing other games or real life keeps him busy)
6.: Mick (as explained above)
7.: Alicia
8.: Dan (that 0.9 cut should be doable in 12 months)
9.: Etch (if he keeps playing Non-SC for a bit he could easily get that)
10.: Ben (going to be pushed down, but will probably stay in the top10)

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Shock on 01/01/16 at 13:14:03

In other news, TvK and Timur did swap positions on the rankings. :P

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Lafungo on 01/01/16 at 13:36:46

Well, I was overly optimistic for 2015. Time to do it again for 2016!  ;D

1. Andy
2. Chris
3. Seb
4. Lafungo
5. Stacy
6. Mick
7. Alicia
8. Ben
9. Dan
10. Etch

As much as I'd like to assert the contrary, change in the Top 3 seems completely unreasonable. I'm going to do the same thing I did in 2015 and claim I'll reach #4, although this time I'll put Stacy over Mick because even with minimal activity Stacy should be able to do it this year. I don't really see anything significant happening in the bottom of the Top 10 either: Dan doesn't seem motivated to close the 1.25 AF gap to Ben, and Etch probably won't play much Non-SC, but I think he'll do what it takes to get back in the Top 10 and stay there. Nosey and Alan fell off the face of the Earth in 2015, so I'm unfortunately not expecting anything from them this year.

I'll throw in a few extra predictions for lower down the rankings:
- Both Fabien and Banjo will reach Top 20, but neither will reach Top 15.
- Glozboy will reach the big 7-point AF graveyard in the 30s, but won't make any substantial progress in crossing it.
- TvK will stay ahead of Zwiebel in their eternal struggle for Worst Updater Ever.
- Harvey won't be in the Top 30 at the end of the year. Don't ask me how it'll happen, but it will.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Glozboy on 01/02/16 at 05:39:13


1B363122393038570 wrote:
- Glozboy will reach the big 7-point AF graveyard in the 30s, but won't make any substantial progress in crossing it.


Heh, that is an optimistic prediction! I'm aiming to get inside the top 35 at least though.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mr.Nosey on 01/02/16 at 08:05:14


527F786B7079711E0 wrote:
Nosey and Alan fell off the face of the Earth in 2015, so I'm unfortunately not expecting anything from them this year.

Booooo!  [smiley=thumbdown.gif]
But yeah you are completely right about 2015. However I graduate this year, so let's see what summer brings? Would definitely not be a full scale comeback, but would be fun to get a few prs here and there.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Stacy1199 on 01/02/16 at 15:01:35

1: Andy Lundeen
2: Christian Wild
3: Sebastian Stellmacher
4: Ethan McCormac
5: Stacy Needham
6: Jonathan Toole-Charignon
7: Mickael Smolen
8: Robert Szabo
9: Alicia L'Hoest
10: Daniel Pabst

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by MKDSリオンカスタアル on 01/02/16 at 15:39:55

1. Andy
2. Christian
3. Ethan
4. Seb
5. Stacy
6. fugga
7. Mick
8. Alicia
9. Daniel
10. Ben

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Lafungo on 01/02/16 at 17:19:02


504D121A1B1A230 wrote:
4: Ethan McCormac


072E24252E082A383F2A394B0 wrote:
3. Ethan

You guys are pushing the optimism past the point of absurdity.  :P

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Firewaster on 01/15/16 at 04:10:34

I promise I will try harder this year...

I have many #30+ PRs. I can't let that happen.
Personal long-term goal is #15 on all PRs

edit: If I do manage to get all #15 or better I will be at least 10th in the world.

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Chraizy on 09/01/16 at 00:22:43

I guess everyones prediction in here is wrong now... check the TOP10 ;)

Also, Lafungo should be scared about his rank hehe...

Title: Re: Ranking predictions for the new year
Post by Mr.Nosey on 09/01/16 at 06:28:30

Haaahaha, and so ends my second short term in the top ten! :P
Congrats Cole, really enjoying seeing your ridiculously rapid ascension.



4D494B455957485554200 wrote:
Booooo!  [smiley=thumbdown.gif]
But yeah you are completely right about 2015. However I graduate this year, so let's see what summer brings? Would definitely not be a full scale comeback, but would be fun to get a few prs here and there.

Well, guess this is half-true.

So shall we do another set of predictions for the next 4 months, mainly to figure out where Cole is going to end up? :P

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